Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 09/10, 20:00

Prediction: FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen

Team pages: FC Dordrecht · FC Emmen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

FC Dordrecht1.84

FC Emmen1.95

1X2

36% 23% 41%

FC Dordrecht Draw FC Emmen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dordrecht 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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FC Emmen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWLLW

Head-to-head

FC Dordrecht 3–1–2 FC Emmen (6 last)

FC Dordrecht1-0FC Emmen
FC Emmen2-0FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht3-0FC Emmen
FC Emmen1-2FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht0-1FC Emmen
FC Emmen2-2FC Dordrecht

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Emmen (rating 1435 vs 1506).
H2H favours FC Dordrecht: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dordrecht	FC Emmen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.9	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.5	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.7	3.1 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.92

Under 3.251.87

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.74 → 2.74	Pinn 2.74
X	3.89 → 3.89	Pinn 3.89
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:15 +38’	2.74	3.89	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dordrecht 3–1–2 FC Emmen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Emmen
19/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Dordrecht
28/02/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Emmen
09/08/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Dordrecht
18/05/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs	FC Dordrecht	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Emmen
14/05/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs	FC Emmen	2-2 HT 2-1	FC Dordrecht

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	28	12	22
2	Almere City FC	8	5	1	2	18	7	16
3	Maastricht	8	5	1	2	12	15	16
4	VVV	8	5	0	3	21	14	15
5	Roda JC	8	4	3	1	9	5	15
6	FC Emmen	8	5	0	3	18	17	15
7	RKC	8	3	4	1	18	11	13
8	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	13	11	13
9	NAC	8	4	1	3	17	17	13
10	AZ Reserves	9	4	1	4	22	17	13
11	FC Volendam	8	4	0	4	20	16	12
12	PSV Reserves	9	3	3	3	14	16	12
13	FC Eindhoven	8	3	1	4	13	17	10
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15	16	9
15	Ajax Reserves	9	2	2	5	13	22	8
16	FC Den Bosch	8	2	1	5	12	17	7
17	FC Dordrecht	8	2	1	5	12	23	7
18	De Graafschap	8	2	1	5	9	20	7
19	FC Utrecht Reserves	9	2	1	6	15	21	7
20	Top Oss	8	2	0	6	8	13	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dordrecht	FC Emmen
Top Oss	0-3 L	1-0 W
FC Eindhoven	1-2 L	1-3 L
AZ Reserves	3-6 L	3-1 W
FC Volendam	1-6 L	5-3 W
Roda JC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Ajax Reserves	2-1 W	6-4 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Emmen (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dordrecht

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
18/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/09	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-3	3-6	2	5	L
28/08	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	1-6	3	4	L
21/08	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
14/08	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
07/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	8	7	W
24/04	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
17/04	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-4	3	2	L

FC Emmen

DWWWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
18/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
11/09	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	13	6	L
04/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	5-3	6	5	W
30/08	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-4	9	6	L
21/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
17/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-3	6-4	9	3	W
07/08	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
24/04	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/04	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	2-2	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Emmen win (41%). Probabilities: FC Dordrecht 36%, draw 23%, FC Emmen 41%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen?

The model expects 3.79 goals (FC Dordrecht 1.84 · FC Emmen 1.95), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dordrecht vs FC Emmen?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.