Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 03/10, 16:30
Prediction: Top Oss vs Maastricht
Team pages: Top Oss · Maastricht
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Top Oss1.48
Maastricht1.41
1X2
Top Oss
Draw
Maastricht
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Top Oss
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Maastricht
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Top Oss
3–1–2
Maastricht
(6 last)
- Maastricht0-2Top Oss
- Top Oss4-0Maastricht
- Top Oss1-0Maastricht
- Maastricht2-2Top Oss
- Maastricht2-0Top Oss
- Top Oss0-1Maastricht
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maastricht (rating 1459 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Top Oss: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Top Oss | Maastricht | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Top Oss 3–1–2 Maastricht
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Top Oss |
| 08/08/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Maastricht |
| 10/01/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Maastricht |
| 27/09/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Top Oss |
| 22/12/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Top Oss |
| 10/11/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maastricht |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | VVV | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | RKC | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | AZ Reserves | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Roda JC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Emmen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | PSV Reserves | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | NAC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
| 12 | FC Eindhoven | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 9 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Ajax Reserves | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Den Bosch | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 7 |
| 19 | Top Oss | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 20 | De Graafschap | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Top Oss | Maastricht |
|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Utrecht Reserves | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Volendam | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Maastricht (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Top Oss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
Maastricht
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/09 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/08 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Top Oss vs Maastricht?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Top Oss win (38%). Probabilities: Top Oss 38%, draw 27%, Maastricht 35%.
How many goals are expected in Top Oss vs Maastricht?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Top Oss 1.48 · Maastricht 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Top Oss vs Maastricht?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.