Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 06/11, 20:00

Prediction: Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam

Team pages: Helmond Sport · FC Volendam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Helmond Sport2.07

FC Volendam2.01

1X2

40% 22% 38%

Helmond Sport Draw FC Volendam

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Helmond Sport 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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FC Volendam 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Helmond Sport 0–1–5 FC Volendam (6 last)

FC Volendam3-1Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport2-3FC Volendam
FC Volendam4-1Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport1-1FC Volendam
FC Volendam5-1Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport0-1FC Volendam

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Volendam (rating 1443 vs 1489).
H2H favours FC Volendam: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Helmond Sport	FC Volendam
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.4	2.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.81

Under 3.251.99

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.50
X	4.13 → 4.13	Pinn 4.13
2	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:03 +64’	2.50	4.13	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Helmond Sport 0–1–5 FC Volendam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Volendam	3-1 HT 1-1	Helmond Sport
20/09/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	2-3 HT 1-1	FC Volendam
25/02/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Volendam	4-1 HT 4-0	Helmond Sport
03/12/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Volendam
09/04/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Volendam	5-1 HT 0-1	Helmond Sport
18/09/20 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Volendam

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	12	9	2	1	37	14	29
2	VVV	13	9	1	3	36	21	28
3	FC Emmen	12	8	1	3	26	19	25
4	Almere City FC	13	8	1	4	27	13	25
5	Roda JC	13	7	4	2	17	12	25
6	NAC	12	6	3	3	23	20	21
7	FC Volendam	13	6	1	6	30	22	19
8	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16	17	17
9	AZ Reserves	13	5	2	6	32	28	17
10	Maastricht	13	5	2	6	17	29	17
11	PSV Reserves	12	4	4	4	17	19	16
12	RKC	13	3	7	3	22	19	16
13	FC Den Bosch	12	4	3	5	18	21	15
14	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17	27	15
15	Top Oss	12	4	1	7	19	20	13
16	Ajax Reserves	12	3	3	6	18	29	12
17	Helmond Sport	13	3	3	7	23	28	12
18	FC Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16	31	11
19	FC Eindhoven	13	3	2	8	18	28	11
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	12	2	1	9	19	31	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Helmond Sport	FC Volendam
AZ Reserves	4-5 L	1-4 L
FC Den Bosch	1-2 L	2-0 W
VVV	4-2 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Helmond Sport (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Helmond Sport

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	3-2	6	9	W
23/10	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-2	4-5	7	0	L
16/10	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
09/10	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-3	7	5	L
02/10	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	2-2	2	9	D
26/09	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
18/09	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-2	1	4	L
11/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
04/09	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	4-2	2	5	W
28/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	2-3	9	3	L

FC Volendam

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
23/10	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-1	6-2	3	1	W
18/10	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
09/10	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
03/10	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
26/09	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-1	3-2	4	1	W
18/09	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	1-4	3	2	L
13/09	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
04/09	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	3-5	2	5	L
28/08	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-1	6-1	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Helmond Sport win (40%). Probabilities: Helmond Sport 40%, draw 22%, FC Volendam 38%.

How many goals are expected in Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Helmond Sport 2.07 · FC Volendam 2.01), with a 58% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Helmond Sport vs FC Volendam?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.