Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: RKC vs FC Den Bosch

Team pages: RKC · FC Den Bosch

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

RKC1.63

FC Den Bosch1.67

1X2

37% 25% 38%

RKC Draw FC Den Bosch

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

RKC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLDDLD

FC Den Bosch 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWWDWD

Head-to-head

RKC 2–2–2 FC Den Bosch (6 last)

RKC2-3FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch2-2RKC
FC Den Bosch0-0RKC
RKC2-3FC Den Bosch
RKC2-1FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch2-3RKC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Den Bosch (rating 1489 vs 1550).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RKC	FC Den Bosch
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.3	3.3 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.81

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.87 → 1.87	Pinn 1.87
X	4.04 → 4.04	Pinn 4.04
2	3.54 → 3.54	Pinn 3.54

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:44 +170’	1.87	4.04	3.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RKC 2–2–2 FC Den Bosch

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	2-3 HT 1-0	FC Den Bosch
03/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	2-2 HT 0-1	RKC
12/07/25 Europe Friendlies	FC Den Bosch	0-0 HT 0-0	RKC
06/07/24 Europe Friendlies	RKC	2-3 HT 1-2	FC Den Bosch
01/02/19 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Den Bosch
24/08/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	2-3 HT 1-1	RKC

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	14	11	2	1	44	15	35
2	VVV	14	9	2	3	37	22	29
3	Almere City FC	14	9	1	4	30	14	28
4	FC Emmen	13	8	1	4	26	24	25
5	NAC	14	7	4	3	25	20	25
6	Roda JC	14	7	4	3	18	17	25
7	FC Volendam	14	7	1	6	33	24	22
8	FC Den Bosch	14	5	4	5	24	22	19
9	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17	18	18
10	Maastricht	13	5	2	6	17	29	17
11	RKC	14	3	8	3	23	20	17
12	AZ Reserves	14	5	2	7	33	31	17
13	PSV Reserves	14	4	5	5	18	22	17
14	Ajax Reserves	14	4	4	6	22	30	16
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17	27	15
16	Top Oss	14	4	2	8	20	23	14
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25	31	12
18	FC Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18	34	12
19	FC Utrecht Reserves	14	3	2	9	23	34	11
20	FC Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18	31	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RKC	FC Den Bosch
Top Oss	1-1 D	2-1 W
De Graafschap	1-1 D	0-1 L
FC Volendam	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Emmen	1-1 D	5-0 W
Maastricht	6-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RKC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RKC

WWWLDLDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
30/10	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
23/10	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
18/10	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	14	3	D
09/10	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
03/10	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
26/09	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
18/09	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	6-1	6	2	W
11/09	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
04/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	4-2	3	5	W

FC Den Bosch

LLWLDWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
01/11	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	5-0	6	0	W
23/10	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	9	4	D
16/10	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
09/10	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
03/10	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
27/09	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
18/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
07/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-3	10	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RKC vs FC Den Bosch?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Den Bosch win (38%). Probabilities: RKC 37%, draw 25%, FC Den Bosch 38%.

How many goals are expected in RKC vs FC Den Bosch?

The model expects 3.29 goals (RKC 1.63 · FC Den Bosch 1.67), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in RKC vs FC Den Bosch?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.