Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 15/11, 14:30
Prediction: Maastricht vs Vitesse
Team pages: Maastricht · Vitesse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Maastricht1.32
Vitesse1.49
1X2
Maastricht
Draw
Vitesse
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Maastricht
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Vitesse
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maastricht
1–2–1
Vitesse
(4 last)
- Vitesse0-0Maastricht
- Maastricht3-2Vitesse
- Vitesse1-0Maastricht
- Maastricht2-2Vitesse
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitesse (rating 1440 vs 1520).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maastricht | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.5 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 2.4 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maastricht 1–2–1 Vitesse
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Vitesse | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maastricht |
| 21/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Vitesse |
| 01/03/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Vitesse | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Maastricht |
| 06/12/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Vitesse |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | VVV | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 25 |
| 5 | NAC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 25 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | FC Den Bosch | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 10 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 17 |
| 11 | RKC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
| 12 | AZ Reserves | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 17 |
| 13 | PSV Reserves | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 17 |
| 14 | Ajax Reserves | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 16 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 16 | Top Oss | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 14 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Dordrecht | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 11 |
| 20 | FC Eindhoven | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 31 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maastricht | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| FC Emmen | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Den Bosch | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Heracles | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| NAC | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Top Oss | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Roda JC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Vitesse (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maastricht
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/10 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/10 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 26/09 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/09 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Vitesse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/10 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 16/10 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 09/10 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maastricht vs Vitesse?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vitesse win (40%). Probabilities: Maastricht 32%, draw 28%, Vitesse 40%.
How many goals are expected in Maastricht vs Vitesse?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Maastricht 1.32 · Vitesse 1.49), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Maastricht vs Vitesse?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.