Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: VVV vs FC Eindhoven

Team pages: VVV · FC Eindhoven

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

VVV2.4

FC Eindhoven1.28

1X2

61% 20% 18%

VVV Draw FC Eindhoven

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

VVV 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWDWWD

FC Eindhoven 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

VVV 4–2–0 FC Eindhoven (6 last)

VVV1-0FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven0-1VVV
VVV2-2FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven1-3VVV
VVV2-2FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven0-2VVV

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VVV (rating 1553 vs 1440).
H2H favours VVV: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VVV	FC Eindhoven
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.7	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.7	1.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.63	Pinn 1.63
X	4.35 → 4.35	Pinn 4.35
2	4.49 → 4.49	Pinn 4.49

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:54 +160’	1.63	4.35	4.49

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VVV 4–2–0 FC Eindhoven

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Eindhoven
24/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	0-1 HT 0-0	VVV
22/03/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	2-2 HT 2-1	FC Eindhoven
13/12/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	1-3 HT 1-1	VVV
23/02/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	VVV	2-2 HT 1-0	FC Eindhoven
10/11/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	0-2 HT 0-1	VVV

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	14	11	2	1	44	15	35
2	VVV	14	9	2	3	37	22	29
3	Almere City FC	14	9	1	4	30	14	28
4	FC Emmen	13	8	1	4	26	24	25
5	NAC	14	7	4	3	25	20	25
6	Roda JC	14	7	4	3	18	17	25
7	FC Volendam	14	7	1	6	33	24	22
8	FC Den Bosch	14	5	4	5	24	22	19
9	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17	18	18
10	Maastricht	13	5	2	6	17	29	17
11	RKC	14	3	8	3	23	20	17
12	AZ Reserves	14	5	2	7	33	31	17
13	PSV Reserves	14	4	5	5	18	22	17
14	Ajax Reserves	14	4	4	6	22	30	16
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17	27	15
16	Top Oss	14	4	2	8	20	23	14
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25	31	12
18	FC Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18	34	12
19	FC Utrecht Reserves	14	3	2	9	23	34	11
20	FC Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18	31	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VVV	FC Eindhoven
PSV Reserves	1-1 D	1-2 L
FC Dordrecht	4-2 W	2-1 W
Ajax Reserves	3-0 W	0-3 L
FC Utrecht Reserves	3-1 W	0-0 D
Helmond Sport	2-4 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: VVV (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VVV

LWWLWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	12	2	D
31/10	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
24/10	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	4-2	2	5	W
16/10	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	4-4	7	7	D
09/10	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
04/10	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
26/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	2-3	7	1	L
18/09	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	4	2	W
11/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
04/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	2-4	8	5	L

FC Eindhoven

DWWLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
30/10	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-3	2	9	L
23/10	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
16/10	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
09/10	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
03/10	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	8	6	D
26/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-4	2	3	L
18/09	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
11/09	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
07/09	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	2	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VVV vs FC Eindhoven?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VVV win (61%). Probabilities: VVV 61%, draw 20%, FC Eindhoven 18%.

How many goals are expected in VVV vs FC Eindhoven?

The model expects 3.68 goals (VVV 2.4 · FC Eindhoven 1.28), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in VVV vs FC Eindhoven?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.