Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: FC Dordrecht vs Heracles

Team pages: FC Dordrecht · Heracles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

FC Dordrecht1.52

Heracles2.04

1X2

28% 23% 49%

FC Dordrecht Draw Heracles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dordrecht 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLWLLD

Heracles 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWDWW

Head-to-head

FC Dordrecht 0–1–4 Heracles (5 last)

FC Dordrecht1-3Heracles
Heracles8-1FC Dordrecht
Heracles3-0FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht2-3Heracles
Heracles1-1FC Dordrecht

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heracles (rating 1437 vs 1570).
H2H favours Heracles: 4-1-0.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dordrecht	Heracles
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	2.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.5	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.4	4.3 / 8.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.5	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	6.53 → 6.53	Pinn 6.53
X	5.11 → 5.11	Pinn 5.11
2	1.39 → 1.39	Pinn 1.39

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:44 +170’	6.53	5.11	1.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dordrecht 0–1–4 Heracles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	1-3 HT 1-1	Heracles
16/12/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Heracles	8-1 HT 4-1	FC Dordrecht
18/12/19 Netherlands Cup	Heracles	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Dordrecht
04/04/15 Netherlands Eredivisie	FC Dordrecht	2-3 HT 2-1	Heracles
12/12/14 Netherlands Eredivisie	Heracles	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Dordrecht

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	14	11	2	1	44	15	35
2	VVV	14	9	2	3	37	22	29
3	Almere City FC	14	9	1	4	30	14	28
4	FC Emmen	13	8	1	4	26	24	25
5	NAC	14	7	4	3	25	20	25
6	Roda JC	14	7	4	3	18	17	25
7	FC Volendam	14	7	1	6	33	24	22
8	FC Den Bosch	14	5	4	5	24	22	19
9	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17	18	18
10	Maastricht	13	5	2	6	17	29	17
11	RKC	14	3	8	3	23	20	17
12	AZ Reserves	14	5	2	7	33	31	17
13	PSV Reserves	14	4	5	5	18	22	17
14	Ajax Reserves	14	4	4	6	22	30	16
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17	27	15
16	Top Oss	14	4	2	8	20	23	14
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25	31	12
18	FC Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18	34	12
19	FC Utrecht Reserves	14	3	2	9	23	34	11
20	FC Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18	31	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dordrecht	Heracles
NAC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Almere City FC	3-2 W	0-1 L
Top Oss	0-3 L	2-0 W
AZ Reserves	3-6 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Heracles (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dordrecht

LLLWDLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
02/11	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	2-3	7	2	L
24/10	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-3	2-4	9	5	L
19/10	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
09/10	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
03/10	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/09	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
18/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/09	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-3	3-6	2	5	L

Heracles

WWLWDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-1	5-1	6	2	W
02/11	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	13	4	W
23/10	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
18/10	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	5-1	9	1	W
09/10	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	3-0	9	4	W
02/10	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-2	12	9	D
26/09	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-0	8	6	W
18/09	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	8	0	L
11/09	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	3-2	8	2	W
04/09	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	5-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dordrecht vs Heracles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Heracles win (49%). Probabilities: FC Dordrecht 28%, draw 23%, Heracles 49%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dordrecht vs Heracles?

The model expects 3.56 goals (FC Dordrecht 1.52 · Heracles 2.04), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dordrecht vs Heracles?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.