Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 06/11, 20:00

Prediction: Top Oss vs RKC

Team pages: Top Oss · RKC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Top Oss1.22

RKC1.7

1X2

27% 25% 48%

Top Oss Draw RKC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Top Oss 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWWLD

RKC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDLDDL

Head-to-head

Top Oss 1–2–3 RKC (6 last)

RKC2-0Top Oss
Top Oss0-0RKC
Top Oss0-1RKC
Top Oss1-2RKC
RKC0-0Top Oss
Top Oss3-1RKC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Top Oss 1494 · RKC 1509

	Top Oss	Draw	RKC
Our model	26%	26%	48%
Market	27%	25%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours RKC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Top Oss	RKC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.70

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +6’	3.40	3.70	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Top Oss 1–2–3 RKC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	2-0 HT 0-0	Top Oss
21/11/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Top Oss	0-0 HT 0-0	RKC
16/07/19 Europe Friendlies	Top Oss	0-1 HT 0-0	RKC
13/01/19 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Top Oss	1-2 HT 0-0	RKC
12/10/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	0-0 HT 0-0	Top Oss
06/04/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Top Oss	3-1 HT 2-1	RKC

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	12	9	2	1	37	14	29
2	VVV	13	9	1	3	36	21	28
3	Almere City FC	13	8	1	4	27	13	25
4	Roda JC	13	7	4	2	17	12	25
5	FC Emmen	13	8	1	4	26	24	25
6	NAC	12	6	3	3	23	20	21
7	FC Volendam	13	6	1	6	30	22	19
8	FC Den Bosch	13	5	3	5	23	21	18
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16	17	17
10	AZ Reserves	13	5	2	6	32	28	17
11	Maastricht	13	5	2	6	17	29	17
12	PSV Reserves	12	4	4	4	17	19	16
13	RKC	13	3	7	3	22	19	16
14	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17	27	15
15	Top Oss	12	4	1	7	19	20	13
16	Ajax Reserves	12	3	3	6	18	29	12
17	Helmond Sport	13	3	3	7	23	28	12
18	FC Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16	31	11
19	FC Eindhoven	13	3	2	8	18	28	11
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	12	2	1	9	19	31	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Top Oss	RKC
Ajax Reserves	3-3 D	2-0 W
Maastricht	4-1 W	6-1 W
FC Emmen	0-1 L	1-1 D
PSV Reserves	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: RKC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Top Oss

LWLLWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	3-3	4	4	D
16/10	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	1-2	9	2	L
09/10	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	3-1	6	5	W
03/10	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	4-1	3	0	W
26/09	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
18/09	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	3-0	1	6	W
11/09	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
04/09	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
28/08	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
24/08	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	5	2	L

RKC

DWWWLDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
23/10	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
18/10	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	14	3	D
09/10	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
03/10	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
26/09	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
18/09	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	6-1	6	2	W
11/09	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
04/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	4-2	3	5	W
28/08	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-2	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Top Oss vs RKC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RKC win (48%). Probabilities: Top Oss 27%, draw 25%, RKC 48%.

How many goals are expected in Top Oss vs RKC?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Top Oss 1.22 · RKC 1.7), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Top Oss vs RKC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.