Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 08/11, 16:45

Prediction: FC Emmen vs Maastricht

Team pages: FC Emmen · Maastricht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

FC Emmen2.25

Maastricht1.09

1X2

63% 21% 16%

FC Emmen Draw Maastricht

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Emmen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Maastricht 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Emmen 2–2–2 Maastricht (6 last)

FC Emmen2-1Maastricht
Maastricht1-0FC Emmen
Maastricht1-2FC Emmen
FC Emmen1-1Maastricht
FC Emmen1-3Maastricht
Maastricht1-1FC Emmen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Emmen (rating 1530 vs 1411).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Emmen	Maastricht
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	1.1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 7.1	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Pinn 1.45
X	4.77 → 4.77	Pinn 4.77
2	5.87 → 5.87	Pinn 5.87

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:59 +26’	1.45	4.77	5.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Emmen 2–2–2 Maastricht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	2-1 HT 1-1	Maastricht
26/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Maastricht	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Emmen
28/03/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Maastricht	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Emmen
04/10/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	1-1 HT 0-0	Maastricht
12/04/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	1-3 HT 1-0	Maastricht
06/11/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Maastricht	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Emmen

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	12	9	2	1	37	14	29
2	VVV	13	9	1	3	36	21	28
3	Almere City FC	13	8	1	4	27	13	25
4	Roda JC	13	7	4	2	17	12	25
5	FC Emmen	13	8	1	4	26	24	25
6	NAC	12	6	3	3	23	20	21
7	FC Volendam	13	6	1	6	30	22	19
8	FC Den Bosch	13	5	3	5	23	21	18
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16	17	17
10	AZ Reserves	13	5	2	6	32	28	17
11	Maastricht	13	5	2	6	17	29	17
12	PSV Reserves	12	4	4	4	17	19	16
13	RKC	13	3	7	3	22	19	16
14	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17	27	15
15	Top Oss	12	4	1	7	19	20	13
16	Ajax Reserves	12	3	3	6	18	29	12
17	Helmond Sport	13	3	3	7	23	28	12
18	FC Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16	31	11
19	FC Eindhoven	13	3	2	8	18	28	11
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	12	2	1	9	19	31	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Emmen	Maastricht
FC Den Bosch	0-5 L	2-2 D
Almere City FC	2-1 W	0-4 L
RKC	1-1 D	1-6 L
Top Oss	1-0 W	1-4 L
VVV	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Emmen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Emmen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-5	4	0	L
23/10	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
17/10	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-1	8	5	W
09/10	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	5	W
03/10	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
26/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
18/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
11/09	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	13	6	L
04/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	5-3	6	5	W
30/08	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-4	9	6	L

Maastricht

WDLLWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	1-2	7	3	L
23/10	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-2	3	4	D
18/10	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-5	3	1	L
09/10	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
03/10	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-4	7	0	L
26/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
18/09	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-3	1-6	3	2	L
11/09	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-4	5	2	L
06/09	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
28/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-1	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Emmen vs Maastricht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Emmen win (63%). Probabilities: FC Emmen 63%, draw 21%, Maastricht 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Emmen vs Maastricht?

The model expects 3.34 goals (FC Emmen 2.25 · Maastricht 1.09), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Emmen vs Maastricht?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.