Prediction: Marseille vs Paris FC
Team pages: Marseille · Paris FC
- Paris FC2-2Marseille
- Marseille5-2Paris FC
| Marseille | Draw | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | 58% | 22% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marseille | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.9 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marseille 1–1–0 Paris FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 France Ligue 1 | Paris FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Marseille |
| 23/08/25 France Ligue 1 | Marseille | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Paris FC |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Lyon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | PSG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marseille | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Le Havre | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Nice | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Lorient | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Metz | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Monaco | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Lille | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Paris FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marseille
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
Paris FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marseille vs Paris FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marseille win (58%). Probabilities: Marseille 58%, draw 23%, Paris FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Paris FC?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Marseille 1.92 · Paris FC 1.01), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Paris FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.