Prediction: PSG vs Monaco
- PSG1-3Monaco
- PSG2-2Monaco
- Monaco2-3PSG
- Monaco1-0PSG
- PSG4-1Monaco
- PSG1-0Monaco
| PSG | Draw | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours PSG: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSG | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 7 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSG 3–1–2 Monaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 France Ligue 1 | PSG | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Monaco |
| 25/02/26 UEFA Champions League | PSG | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Monaco |
| 17/02/26 UEFA Champions League | Monaco | 2-3 HT 2-2 | PSG |
| 29/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | PSG |
| 07/02/25 France Ligue 1 | PSG | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Monaco |
| 05/01/25 France Super Cup | PSG | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Monaco |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Lyon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | PSG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 9 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSG | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Lille | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Paris FC | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Brest | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Lyon | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Toulouse | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: PSG (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Monaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
3-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSG vs Monaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSG win (64%). Probabilities: PSG 64%, draw 21%, Monaco 16%.
How many goals are expected in PSG vs Monaco?
The model expects 3.24 goals (PSG 2.21 · Monaco 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PSG vs Monaco?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.