Prediction: Lens vs Lorient
- Lorient2-1Lens
- Lens3-0Lorient
- Lens2-0Lorient
- Lorient0-0Lens
- Lorient1-3Lens
- Lorient1-1Lens
| Lens | Draw | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lens (rating 1551 vs 1493).
- H2H favours Lens: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lens | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lens 3–2–1 Lorient
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Lens |
| 02/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lorient |
| 03/05/24 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lorient |
| 04/11/23 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lens |
| 21/05/23 France Ligue 1 | Lorient | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Lens |
| 09/02/23 France Cup | Lorient | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lens |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Lyon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | PSG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 9 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lens | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Lyon | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| PSG | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Nice | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Toulouse | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lens (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/03 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
Lorient
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lens vs Lorient?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lens win (64%). Probabilities: Lens 64%, draw 21%, Lorient 15%.
How many goals are expected in Lens vs Lorient?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Lens 2.17 · Lorient 0.98), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lens vs Lorient?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.