Prediction: Le Havre vs Brest
- Brest2-0Le Havre
- Le Havre1-0Brest
- Brest1-0Le Havre
- Le Havre0-1Brest
- Brest2-0Le Havre
- Brest1-0Le Havre
| Le Havre | Draw | Brest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Le Havre (rating 1475 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Brest: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Le Havre | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Havre 1–0–5 Brest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Le Havre |
| 29/10/25 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brest |
| 30/07/25 Elite Club Friendlies | Brest | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Le Havre |
| 26/01/25 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Brest |
| 06/10/24 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Le Havre |
| 03/03/24 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Le Havre |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Lyon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | PSG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 9 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Le Havre | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Angers | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Auxerre | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Paris FC | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Le Havre (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Le Havre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Brest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/03 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Le Havre vs Brest?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Le Havre win (39%). Probabilities: Le Havre 39%, draw 29%, Brest 32%.
How many goals are expected in Le Havre vs Brest?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Le Havre 1.4 · Brest 1.25), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Brest?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.