Prediction: Lille vs Le Havre
- Lille1-1Le Havre
- Le Havre0-1Lille
- Lille1-2Le Havre
- Le Havre0-3Lille
- Lille3-0Le Havre
- Le Havre0-2Lille
| Lille | Draw | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lille (rating 1557 vs 1445).
- H2H favours Lille: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lille | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lille 4–1–1 Le Havre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 France Ligue 1 | Lille | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Le Havre |
| 30/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lille |
| 08/02/25 France Ligue 1 | Lille | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Le Havre |
| 28/09/24 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Lille |
| 17/02/24 France Ligue 1 | Lille | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Le Havre |
| 01/10/23 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lille |
Standings · France Ligue 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | PSG | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lille | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Angers | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Monaco | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lille (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lille
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 03/09 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/08 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Le Havre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lille vs Le Havre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lille win (65%). Probabilities: Lille 65%, draw 22%, Le Havre 13%.
How many goals are expected in Lille vs Le Havre?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Lille 1.91 · Le Havre 0.71), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lille vs Le Havre?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.