Football · England EFL Cup · 03/08, 20:30
Prediction: York vs Crawley Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
York1.9
Crawley Town1.02
1X2
York
Draw
Crawley Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
York
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Crawley Town
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
York
0–1–1
Crawley Town
(2 last)
- York2-2Crawley Town
- Crawley Town1-0York
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · York 1504 · Crawley Town 1482
| York | Draw | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| York | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · York 0–1–1 Crawley Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/16 England League 2 | York | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Crawley Town |
| 31/10/15 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 1-0 HT 0-0 | York |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
York
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Peterborough UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/07 | Al Ittifaq Dammam World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Sunderland Elite Club Friendlies |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Pickering Town Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Barnsley UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Rochdale England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Yeovil England National League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Crawley Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Reading UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Oxford Utd UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Eastleigh UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in York vs Crawley Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a York win (57%). Probabilities: York 57%, draw 24%, Crawley Town 19%.
How many goals are expected in York vs Crawley Town?
The model expects 2.92 goals (York 1.9 · Crawley Town 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in York vs Crawley Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.