Prediction: Tranmere vs Rochdale
Team pages: Tranmere · Rochdale
- Tranmere0-2Rochdale
- Rochdale2-2Tranmere
- Tranmere1-1Rochdale
- Tranmere2-0Rochdale
- Rochdale1-0Tranmere
- Tranmere2-3Rochdale
| Tranmere | Draw | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rochdale (rating 1460 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Rochdale: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tranmere | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tranmere 1–2–3 Rochdale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/23 Club Friendly List | Tranmere | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rochdale |
| 18/04/23 England League 2 | Rochdale | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Tranmere |
| 25/10/22 England League 2 | Tranmere | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Rochdale |
| 15/01/22 England League 2 | Tranmere | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rochdale |
| 11/09/21 England League 2 | Rochdale | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tranmere |
| 03/08/19 England League 1 | Tranmere | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Rochdale |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tranmere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Blackpool UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/03 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Rochdale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Halifax UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Farnham UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | Al-Rayyan SC World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | FC United of Manchester UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | York England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Braintree Town England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tranmere vs Rochdale?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rochdale win (40%). Probabilities: Tranmere 32%, draw 28%, Rochdale 40%.
How many goals are expected in Tranmere vs Rochdale?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Tranmere 1.28 · Rochdale 1.44), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tranmere vs Rochdale?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.