Football · South Korea Cup · 04/07, 09:00

Prediction: Jincheon HR vs Siheung City AC

Expected goals: 2.34 (Jincheon HR 0.91 · Siheung City AC 1.43). The model gives 24% home, 27% draw, 49% away. Under 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Jincheon HR with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Siheung City AC has piled up 6-3-1 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Jincheon HR and 1 for Siheung City AC.

49%2
24% 27% 49%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jincheon HR 1522 · Siheung City AC 1545
Jincheon HRDrawSiheung City AC
Our model23%29%48%
Market25%26%50%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.34Jincheon HR 0.91 · Siheung City AC 1.43
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jincheon HRSiheung City AC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.11.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 6.31.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jincheon HR 001 Siheung City AC

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/05/26
South Korea League Cup
Siheung City AC2-1
HT 1-0
Jincheon HR

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jincheon HR

LWLDWWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-2 93 D
21/06 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-2 103 D
07/06 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 46 W
30/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 85 L
23/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
3-1 6-2 42 W
17/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
1-0 3-0 53 W
10/05 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 74 D
05/05 Siheung City AC
South Korea League Cup
0-1 1-2 33 L
02/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-0 44 W
26/04 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-2 96 L

Siheung City AC

WWDWWDWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Jeonbuk Motors II
South Korea K3 League
0-0 1-1 73 D
20/06 Chuncheon FC
South Korea K3 League
2-2 3-2 42 W
13/06 Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
0-1 0-1 34 L
07/06 Yeoju
South Korea K3 League
0-0 1-0 46 W
31/05 Mokpo City
South Korea K3 League
0-0 1-1 73 D
27/05 Dangjin Citizen FC
South Korea K3/K4 Championship
1-0 1-0 33 W
23/05 Dangjin Citizen FC
South Korea K3 League
2-1 2-1 23 W
17/05 Gangneung City
South Korea K3 League
1-0 1-1 52 D
09/05 Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korea K3 League
1-0 1-0 43 W
05/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea League Cup
1-0 2-1 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jincheon HR vs Siheung City AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Siheung City AC win (49%). Probabilities: Jincheon HR 24%, draw 27%, Siheung City AC 49%.

How many goals are expected in Jincheon HR vs Siheung City AC?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Jincheon HR 0.91 · Siheung City AC 1.43), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jincheon HR vs Siheung City AC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.