Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 10/08, 20:00
Prediction: PSV Reserves vs FC Volendam
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
PSV Reserves1.09
FC Volendam1.6
1X2
PSV Reserves
Draw
FC Volendam
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
PSV Reserves
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
FC Volendam
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSV Reserves
0–1–5
FC Volendam
(6 last)
- FC Volendam4-0PSV Reserves
- PSV Reserves1-4FC Volendam
- PSV Reserves2-2FC Volendam
- FC Volendam3-2PSV Reserves
- PSV Reserves0-1FC Volendam
- FC Volendam5-1PSV Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PSV Reserves 1465 · FC Volendam 1511
| PSV Reserves | Draw | FC Volendam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Volendam (rating 1465 vs 1511).
- H2H favours FC Volendam: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSV Reserves | FC Volendam | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.4 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSV Reserves 0–1–5 FC Volendam
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Volendam | 4-0 HT 0-0 | PSV Reserves |
| 22/11/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 1-4 HT 0-4 | FC Volendam |
| 04/04/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FC Volendam |
| 10/12/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Volendam | 3-2 HT 2-0 | PSV Reserves |
| 07/05/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Volendam |
| 16/10/20 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Volendam | 5-1 HT 0-0 | PSV Reserves |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Dordrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | NAC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Almere City FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | RKC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Vitesse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AZ Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | PSV Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | VVV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Ajax Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Top Oss | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Roda JC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSV Reserves | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| RKC | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Willem II | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Volendam (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSV Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/03 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/03 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/02 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
FC Volendam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Ajax Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | FC Groningen Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | RKC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 05/07 | RKAV Volendam Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSV Reserves vs FC Volendam?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Volendam win (49%). Probabilities: PSV Reserves 25%, draw 26%, FC Volendam 49%.
How many goals are expected in PSV Reserves vs FC Volendam?
The model expects 2.7 goals (PSV Reserves 1.09 · FC Volendam 1.6), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in PSV Reserves vs FC Volendam?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.