Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 25/07, 04:00

Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Perez Zeledon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Deportivo Saprissa2.41

Municipal Perez Zeledon1.16

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Deportivo Saprissa Draw Municipal Perez Zeledon

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Saprissa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDWWLL

Municipal Perez Zeledon 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLDLLD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Saprissa 4–2–0 Municipal Perez Zeledon (6 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (rating 1558 vs 1426).
H2H favours Deportivo Saprissa: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Saprissa	Municipal Perez Zeledon
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.4	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:41

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Pinn 1.28
X	5.48 → 5.48	Pinn 5.48
2	8.89 → 8.89	Pinn 8.89

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:41	1.28	5.48	8.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Saprissa 4–2–0 Municipal Perez Zeledon

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Deportivo Saprissa	4-0 HT 0-0	Municipal Perez Zeledon
29/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Municipal Perez Zeledon	3-3 HT 2-1	Deportivo Saprissa
23/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Deportivo Saprissa	3-0 HT 2-0	Municipal Perez Zeledon
27/07/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Municipal Perez Zeledon	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Saprissa
08/05/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Municipal Perez Zeledon	0-3 HT 0-2	Deportivo Saprissa
17/01/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Deportivo Saprissa	0-0 HT 0-0	Municipal Perez Zeledon

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD San Carlos	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cartagines	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Herediano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo Saprissa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Inter San Carlos	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Alajuelense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Municipal Liberia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Municipal Perez Zeledon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Puntarenas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting San Jose	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Saprissa	Municipal Perez Zeledon
Herediano	0-1 L	0-1 L
Municipal Liberia	2-0 W	1-1 D
Puntarenas	3-1 W	3-3 D
Guadalupe FC	5-0 W	0-1 L
Alajuelense	1-1 D	0-3 L
Sporting San Jose	3-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Deportivo Saprissa

LWDWWDWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Herediano Costa Rica Super Cup	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
17/05	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
14/05	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
11/05	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	10	8	W
04/05	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
27/04	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	3-1	7	2	W
23/04	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	5-0	5	5	W
20/04	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
16/04	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Cup	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
12/04	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-2	16	5	L

Municipal Perez Zeledon

LDLLWLDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/04	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
23/04	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
19/04	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
12/04	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	2-2	3-3	2	6	D
05/04	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-4	2	8	L
22/03	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	3-1	7	6	W
14/03	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
10/03	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	2-3	2	6	L
04/03	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
01/03	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-2	0-3	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Perez Zeledon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Saprissa win (64%). Probabilities: Deportivo Saprissa 64%, draw 20%, Municipal Perez Zeledon 16%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Perez Zeledon?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Deportivo Saprissa 2.41 · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1.16), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Perez Zeledon?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.