Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 30/08, 19:00
Prediction: Cartagines vs Herediano
Team pages: Cartagines · Herediano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Cartagines1.2
Herediano0.88
1X2
Cartagines
Draw
Herediano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cartagines
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Herediano
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cartagines
1–1–4
Herediano
(6 last)
- Herediano0-0Cartagines
- Cartagines0-1Herediano
- Cartagines1-2Herediano
- Herediano1-0Cartagines
- Herediano2-1Cartagines
- Cartagines2-0Herediano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cartagines 1550 · Herediano 1547
| Cartagines | Draw | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Herediano: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cartagines | Herediano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.6 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cartagines 1–1–4 Herediano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cartagines |
| 03/05/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Cartagines | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Herediano |
| 11/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Cartagines | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Herediano |
| 15/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cartagines |
| 26/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Herediano | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cartagines |
| 11/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Cartagines | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Herediano |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Alajuelense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter San Carlos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Cartagines | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AD San Carlos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 8 | Herediano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 9 | Puntarenas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cartagines | Herediano |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Sporting San Jose | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Inter San Carlos | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| AD San Carlos | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cartagines (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cartagines
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 04/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 27/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
Herediano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cartagines vs Herediano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cartagines win (43%). Probabilities: Cartagines 43%, draw 31%, Herediano 26%.
How many goals are expected in Cartagines vs Herediano?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Cartagines 1.2 · Herediano 0.88), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cartagines vs Herediano?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.