Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 31/08, 00:00
Prediction: AD San Carlos vs Puntarenas
Team pages: AD San Carlos · Puntarenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
AD San Carlos1.41
Puntarenas1.09
1X2
AD San Carlos
Draw
Puntarenas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AD San Carlos
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Puntarenas
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AD San Carlos
2–2–2
Puntarenas
(6 last)
- Puntarenas0-0AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos1-0Puntarenas
- AD San Carlos1-1Puntarenas
- Puntarenas1-2AD San Carlos
- Puntarenas1-0AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos0-1Puntarenas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AD San Carlos 1488 · Puntarenas 1435
| AD San Carlos | Draw | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD San Carlos (rating 1488 vs 1435).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD San Carlos | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/67/22% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD San Carlos 2–2–2 Puntarenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 22/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Puntarenas |
| 24/11/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Puntarenas |
| 27/07/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-2 HT 1-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 12/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 17/02/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Puntarenas |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Alajuelense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter San Carlos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Cartagines | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AD San Carlos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 8 | Herediano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 9 | Puntarenas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD San Carlos | Puntarenas |
|---|---|---|
| Alajuelense | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Herediano | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AD San Carlos (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/07 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 22/04 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
Puntarenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 12 | W |
| 16/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD San Carlos vs Puntarenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AD San Carlos win (43%). Probabilities: AD San Carlos 43%, draw 29%, Puntarenas 28%.
How many goals are expected in AD San Carlos vs Puntarenas?
The model expects 2.5 goals (AD San Carlos 1.41 · Puntarenas 1.09), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AD San Carlos vs Puntarenas?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.