Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 30/08, 04:00
Prediction: Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense
Team pages: Municipal Perez Zeledon · Alajuelense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Municipal Perez Zeledon0.98
Alajuelense1.59
1X2
Municipal Perez Zeledon
Draw
Alajuelense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Municipal Perez Zeledon
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Alajuelense
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Municipal Perez Zeledon
1–2–3
Alajuelense
(6 last)
- Alajuelense3-0Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Municipal Perez Zeledon1-1Alajuelense
- Alajuelense3-2Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Municipal Perez Zeledon2-1Alajuelense
- Municipal Perez Zeledon1-2Alajuelense
- Alajuelense0-0Municipal Perez Zeledon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1433 · Alajuelense 1568
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | Draw | Alajuelense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 28% | 50% |
| Market | 23% | 26% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alajuelense (rating 1433 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Alajuelense: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | Alajuelense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.5 | 2.7 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1–2–3 Alajuelense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 18/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Alajuelense |
| 27/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 07/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Alajuelense |
| 01/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Alajuelense |
| 27/01/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Alajuelense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter San Carlos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Cartagines | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AD San Carlos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 8 | Herediano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 9 | Puntarenas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Municipal Perez Zeledon | Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| AD San Carlos | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Herediano | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Guadalupe FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Alajuelense (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Municipal Perez Zeledon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 17/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 23/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
Alajuelense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/08 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 06/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alajuelense win (51%). Probabilities: Municipal Perez Zeledon 23%, draw 27%, Alajuelense 51%.
How many goals are expected in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Municipal Perez Zeledon 0.98 · Alajuelense 1.59), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.