Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 06/09, 04:00

Prediction: Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa

Team pages: Alajuelense · Deportivo Saprissa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Alajuelense1.55

Deportivo Saprissa1.35

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Alajuelense Draw Deportivo Saprissa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Alajuelense 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWWWLD

Deportivo Saprissa 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Alajuelense 3–2–1 Deportivo Saprissa (6 last)

Alajuelense1-1Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa2-1Alajuelense
Alajuelense3-1Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa2-2Alajuelense
Alajuelense2-0Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa0-1Alajuelense

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Alajuelense: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alajuelense	Deportivo Saprissa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	3.8 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.94

Under 2.51.84

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.54 → 2.56▲	Pinn 2.56
X	2.67 → 2.69▲	Pinn 2.69
2	3.26 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:22	2.54	2.67	3.26
11:34 +1’	2.56▲	2.69▲	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Alajuelense 3–2–1 Deportivo Saprissa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Alajuelense	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Saprissa
22/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Deportivo Saprissa	2-1 HT 1-1	Alajuelense
21/12/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Alajuelense	3-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Saprissa
18/12/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Deportivo Saprissa	2-2 HT 1-2	Alajuelense
20/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Alajuelense	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Saprissa
31/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Deportivo Saprissa	0-1 HT 0-0	Alajuelense

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Saprissa	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
2	Cartagines	6	4	0	2	12	7	12
3	Sporting San Jose	6	3	2	1	10	4	11
4	Alajuelense	6	3	2	1	9	5	11
5	Inter San Carlos	6	3	1	2	6	6	10
6	Puntarenas	6	2	1	3	5	9	7
7	AD San Carlos	6	2	0	4	4	9	6
8	Municipal Perez Zeledon	6	1	2	3	3	8	5
9	Escorpiones de Belen FC	6	1	1	4	6	10	4
10	Herediano	6	1	1	4	4	9	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alajuelense	Deportivo Saprissa
Municipal Perez Zeledon	1-1 D	5-1 W
AD San Carlos	0-1 L	2-1 W
Puntarenas	2-1 W	2-0 W
Herediano	3-0 W	0-2 L
Escorpiones de Belen FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Municipal Liberia	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alajuelense

WDWLDWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
24/08	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/08	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
10/08	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
02/08	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	2-1	9	2	W
26/07	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
27/04	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
24/04	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	3-1	5-2	6	4	W
20/04	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
12/04	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	9	W

Deportivo Saprissa

DWWLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-1	10	3	W
23/08	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	8	8	L
16/08	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	2-1	3-2	4	7	W
09/08	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
03/08	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
25/07	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	5-1	7	2	W
17/05	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
14/05	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
11/05	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	10	8	W
04/05	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alajuelense win (41%). Probabilities: Alajuelense 41%, draw 27%, Deportivo Saprissa 32%.

How many goals are expected in Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Alajuelense 1.55 · Deportivo Saprissa 1.35), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.