Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 07/09, 03:00
Prediction: AD San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose
Team pages: AD San Carlos · Sporting San Jose
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
AD San Carlos1.08
Sporting San Jose1.14
1X2
AD San Carlos
Draw
Sporting San Jose
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
AD San Carlos
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Sporting San Jose
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AD San Carlos
1–1–4
Sporting San Jose
(6 last)
- Sporting San Jose1-0AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos3-0Sporting San Jose
- AD San Carlos0-3Sporting San Jose
- Sporting San Jose1-1AD San Carlos
- Sporting San Jose1-0AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos0-1Sporting San Jose
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting San Jose (rating 1461 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Sporting San Jose: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD San Carlos | Sporting San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/67/22% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD San Carlos 1–1–4 Sporting San Jose
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Sporting San Jose | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 19/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Sporting San Jose |
| 29/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Sporting San Jose |
| 16/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Sporting San Jose | 1-1 HT 1-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 03/05/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Sporting San Jose | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AD San Carlos |
| 21/01/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sporting San Jose |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Inter San Carlos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Puntarenas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 7 | AD San Carlos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 9 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 10 | Herediano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD San Carlos | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Alajuelense | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Herediano | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Inter San Carlos | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Cartagines | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting San Jose (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD San Carlos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/07 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 22/04 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Sporting San Jose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 23/08 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 22/04 | Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting San Jose win (36%). Probabilities: AD San Carlos 33%, draw 32%, Sporting San Jose 36%.
How many goals are expected in AD San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose?
The model expects 2.23 goals (AD San Carlos 1.08 · Sporting San Jose 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AD San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.