Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 07/09, 00:00

Prediction: Puntarenas vs Cartagines

Team pages: Puntarenas · Cartagines

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Puntarenas1.16

Cartagines1.72

1X2

25% 26% 49%

Puntarenas Draw Cartagines

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Puntarenas 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Cartagines 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Puntarenas 1–2–3 Cartagines (6 last)

Cartagines3-2Puntarenas
Puntarenas0-2Cartagines
Puntarenas1-1Cartagines
Cartagines0-0Puntarenas
Cartagines1-0Puntarenas
Puntarenas1-0Cartagines

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cartagines (rating 1450 vs 1588).
H2H favours Cartagines: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puntarenas	Cartagines
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.6	2.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.91

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 16:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.77 → 2.56▼	Pinn 2.56
X	3.09 → 3.12▲	Pinn 3.12
2	2.56 → 2.83▲	Pinn 2.83

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:29 +1’	2.77	3.09	2.56
11:40 +1’	2.79▲	3.12▲	2.59▲
15:08 +1’	2.60▼	3.12	2.78▲
16:38	2.56▼	3.12	2.83▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puntarenas 1–2–3 Cartagines

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Cartagines	3-2 HT 1-0	Puntarenas
18/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Puntarenas	0-2 HT 0-1	Cartagines
19/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Puntarenas	1-1 HT 0-0	Cartagines
31/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Cartagines	0-0 HT 0-0	Puntarenas
30/03/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Cartagines	1-0 HT 0-0	Puntarenas
06/03/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Puntarenas	1-0 HT 0-0	Cartagines

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Saprissa	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
2	Cartagines	6	4	0	2	12	7	12
3	Sporting San Jose	6	3	2	1	10	4	11
4	Alajuelense	6	3	2	1	9	5	11
5	Inter San Carlos	6	3	1	2	6	6	10
6	Puntarenas	6	2	1	3	5	9	7
7	AD San Carlos	6	2	0	4	4	9	6
8	Municipal Perez Zeledon	6	1	2	3	3	8	5
9	Escorpiones de Belen FC	6	1	1	4	6	10	4
10	Herediano	6	1	1	4	4	9	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puntarenas	Cartagines
AD San Carlos	2-1 W	2-1 W
Municipal Perez Zeledon	1-0 W	0-1 L
Deportivo Saprissa	0-2 L	2-3 L
Sporting San Jose	1-1 D	2-1 W
Herediano	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cartagines (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puntarenas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
22/08	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-0	8	12	W
16/08	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-2	8	6	L
09/08	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
02/08	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
24/07	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
27/04	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
24/04	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	1-3	2-5	1	4	L
19/04	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
12/04	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	2-2	3-3	7	6	D

Cartagines

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
23/08	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	4-1	9	8	W
16/08	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	1-2	2-3	6	7	L
08/08	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	2-1	4	9	W
04/08	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
26/07	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
10/05	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
03/05	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-1	10	9	L
27/04	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division	2-0	5-0	8	1	W
22/04	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	2-1	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puntarenas vs Cartagines?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cartagines win (49%). Probabilities: Puntarenas 25%, draw 26%, Cartagines 49%.

How many goals are expected in Puntarenas vs Cartagines?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Puntarenas 1.16 · Cartagines 1.72), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Puntarenas vs Cartagines?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.