Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 13/09, 22:00

Prediction: Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa

Team pages: Sporting San Jose · Deportivo Saprissa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

Sporting San Jose1.06

Deportivo Saprissa1.23

1X2

31% 30% 39%

Sporting San Jose Draw Deportivo Saprissa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting San Jose 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDDLWWWL

Deportivo Saprissa 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Sporting San Jose 1–1–4 Deportivo Saprissa (6 last)

Sporting San Jose1-3Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa1-2Sporting San Jose
Sporting San Jose0-1Deportivo Saprissa
Sporting San Jose0-0Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa4-0Sporting San Jose
Sporting San Jose0-1Deportivo Saprissa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Jose 1513 · Deportivo Saprissa 1605

	Sporting San Jose	Draw	Deportivo Saprissa
Our model	30%	31%	39%
Market	31%	29%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (rating 1513 vs 1605).
H2H favours Deportivo Saprissa: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting San Jose	Deportivo Saprissa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	4.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.10

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.93▲	Pinn 2.93
X	2.91 → 2.94▲	Pinn 2.94
2	2.58 → 2.61▲	Pinn 2.61

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +14’	2.90	2.91	2.58
04:12 +10’	2.93▲	2.94▲	2.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Jose 1–1–4 Deportivo Saprissa

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/04/26 Costa Rica Cup	Sporting San Jose	1-3 HT 0-1	Deportivo Saprissa
06/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Deportivo Saprissa	1-2 HT 1-1	Sporting San Jose
23/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Sporting San Jose	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Saprissa
06/12/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Sporting San Jose	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Saprissa
24/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Deportivo Saprissa	4-0 HT 2-0	Sporting San Jose
06/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Sporting San Jose	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Saprissa

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Saprissa	7	6	0	1	16	6	18
2	Cartagines	7	5	0	2	15	8	15
3	Inter San Carlos	7	4	1	2	8	6	13
4	Sporting San Jose	7	3	2	2	10	5	11
5	Alajuelense	7	3	2	2	9	7	11
6	AD San Carlos	7	3	0	4	5	9	9
7	Municipal Perez Zeledon	7	2	2	3	6	10	8
8	Puntarenas	7	2	1	4	6	12	7
9	Escorpiones de Belen FC	7	1	1	5	6	12	4
9	Herediano	7	1	1	5	6	12	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting San Jose	Deportivo Saprissa
AD San Carlos	0-1 L	2-1 W
Inter San Carlos	2-0 W	0-1 L
Herediano	3-0 W	0-2 L
Escorpiones de Belen FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
Cartagines	1-2 L	3-2 W
Puntarenas	1-1 D	2-0 W
Alajuelense	1-1 D	2-0 W
Municipal Liberia	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Jose

WLDDDLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
29/08	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	10	W
23/08	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	3-0	7	1	W
18/08	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
08/08	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-2	3	9	L
02/08	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
26/07	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
26/04	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
22/04	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
19/04	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-1	1	3	W

Deportivo Saprissa

WWLWWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
31/08	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-1	10	3	W
23/08	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	8	8	L
16/08	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	2-1	3-2	4	7	W
09/08	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
03/08	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	2-1	11	3	W
25/07	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	5-1	7	2	W
17/05	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
14/05	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
11/05	Municipal Liberia Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	10	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Saprissa win (39%). Probabilities: Sporting San Jose 31%, draw 30%, Deportivo Saprissa 39%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Sporting San Jose 1.06 · Deportivo Saprissa 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.