Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 12/09, 04:00

Prediction: Municipal Perez Zeledon vs AD San Carlos

Team pages: Municipal Perez Zeledon · AD San Carlos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Municipal Perez Zeledon1.21

AD San Carlos1.27

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Municipal Perez Zeledon Draw AD San Carlos

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Municipal Perez Zeledon 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWDLLDW

AD San Carlos 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Municipal Perez Zeledon 4–1–1 AD San Carlos (6 last)

AD San Carlos1-1Municipal Perez Zeledon
Municipal Perez Zeledon3-1AD San Carlos
Municipal Perez Zeledon1-3AD San Carlos
AD San Carlos0-1Municipal Perez Zeledon
AD San Carlos0-2Municipal Perez Zeledon
Municipal Perez Zeledon1-0AD San Carlos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1471 · AD San Carlos 1500

	Municipal Perez Zeledon	Draw	AD San Carlos
Our model	34%	30%	37%
Market	34%	29%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Municipal Perez Zeledon: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Municipal Perez Zeledon	AD San Carlos
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.3	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.10

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.53▼	Pinn 2.53
X	3.23 → 3.33▲	Pinn 3.33
2	2.67 → 2.70▲	Pinn 2.70

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:11 +15’	2.55	3.23	2.67
04:14 +8’	2.58▲	3.27▲	2.69▲
13:07 +6’	2.53▼	3.33▲	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Municipal Perez Zeledon 4–1–1 AD San Carlos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	AD San Carlos	1-1 HT 1-1	Municipal Perez Zeledon
14/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Municipal Perez Zeledon	3-1 HT 2-1	AD San Carlos
19/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Municipal Perez Zeledon	1-3 HT 1-2	AD San Carlos
02/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	AD San Carlos	0-1 HT 0-0	Municipal Perez Zeledon
05/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	AD San Carlos	0-2 HT 0-1	Municipal Perez Zeledon
08/02/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Municipal Perez Zeledon	1-0 HT 0-0	AD San Carlos

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Saprissa	7	6	0	1	16	6	18
2	Cartagines	7	5	0	2	15	8	15
3	Inter San Carlos	7	4	1	2	8	6	13
4	Sporting San Jose	7	3	2	2	10	5	11
5	Alajuelense	7	3	2	2	9	7	11
6	AD San Carlos	7	3	0	4	5	9	9
7	Municipal Perez Zeledon	7	2	2	3	6	10	8
8	Puntarenas	7	2	1	4	6	12	7
9	Escorpiones de Belen FC	7	1	1	5	6	12	4
9	Herediano	7	1	1	5	6	12	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Municipal Perez Zeledon	AD San Carlos
Herediano	3-2 W	1-0 W
Alajuelense	1-1 D	1-0 W
Puntarenas	0-1 L	1-2 L
Inter San Carlos	0-1 L	0-2 L
Cartagines	1-0 W	1-2 L
Deportivo Saprissa	1-5 L	1-2 L
Guadalupe FC	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: AD San Carlos (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Municipal Perez Zeledon

LLDLWDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	3-2	2	9	W
30/08	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
22/08	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	2	12	L
17/08	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
09/08	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
04/08	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
25/07	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-5	2	2	L
25/04	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
23/04	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
19/04	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	6	L

AD San Carlos

WLLDLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
31/08	Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
24/08	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
09/08	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
03/08	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
25/04	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
22/04	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
19/04	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
13/04	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Primera Division	2-0	4-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs AD San Carlos?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AD San Carlos win (37%). Probabilities: Municipal Perez Zeledon 34%, draw 29%, AD San Carlos 37%.

How many goals are expected in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs AD San Carlos?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Municipal Perez Zeledon 1.21 · AD San Carlos 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs AD San Carlos?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.