Prediction: Gangneung City vs Jecheon Citizen
Expected goals: 2.42 (Gangneung City 1.33 · Jecheon Citizen 1.09). The model gives 42% home, 28% draw, 30% away. Over 2 goals (56%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Gangneung City sits at 3-1-6 (W-D-L), while Jecheon Citizen arrives on a 5-3-2 run.
| Gangneung City | Draw | Jecheon Citizen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jecheon Citizen (rating 1463 vs 1532).
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gangneung City | Jecheon Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gangneung City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
Jecheon Citizen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gangneung City vs Jecheon Citizen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangneung City win (42%). Probabilities: Gangneung City 42%, draw 28%, Jecheon Citizen 30%.
How many goals are expected in Gangneung City vs Jecheon Citizen?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Gangneung City 1.33 · Jecheon Citizen 1.09), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gangneung City vs Jecheon Citizen?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.