Prediction: Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam
Expected goals: 2.5 (Changwon City 1.57 · Geumsan Insam 0.93). The model gives 52% home, 26% draw, 22% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Changwon City with 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Geumsan Insam has piled up 3-4-3 in the same span.
| Changwon City | Draw | Geumsan Insam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Changwon City | Geumsan Insam | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Changwon City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Geumsan Insam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-2 | 7-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Changwon City win (52%). Probabilities: Changwon City 52%, draw 26%, Geumsan Insam 22%.
How many goals are expected in Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Changwon City 1.57 · Geumsan Insam 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Changwon City vs Geumsan Insam?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.