Football · Mexico Liga MX · 12/10, 01:00

Prediction: Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna

Team pages: Atletico San Luis · Santos Laguna

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Atletico San Luis1.77
Santos Laguna1.23
1X2
49% 26% 25%
Atletico San Luis Draw Santos Laguna
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico San Luis 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDDLDWLLWW
Santos Laguna 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDLWWW
Head-to-head
Atletico San Luis 5–1 Santos Laguna (6 last)
  • Atletico San Luis2-0Santos Laguna
  • Santos Laguna1-4Atletico San Luis
  • Santos Laguna2-3Atletico San Luis
  • Atletico San Luis3-1Santos Laguna
  • Santos Laguna0-3Atletico San Luis
  • Atletico San Luis0-2Santos Laguna
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico San Luis 1487 · Santos Laguna 1477
Atletico San LuisDrawSantos Laguna
Our model49%26%26%
Market49%26%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Atletico San Luis: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico San LuisSantos Laguna
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.81 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 2.83.9 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.12.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico San Luis 5–0–1 Santos Laguna

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
23/04/26
Mexico Liga MX
Atletico San Luis2-0
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
22/09/25
Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna1-4
HT 0-1
Atletico San Luis
31/03/25
Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna2-3
HT 2-1
Atletico San Luis
29/09/24
Mexico Liga MX
Atletico San Luis3-1
HT 0-1
Santos Laguna
29/04/24
Mexico Liga MX
Santos Laguna0-3
HT 0-2
Atletico San Luis
12/11/23
Mexico Liga MX
Atletico San Luis0-2
HT 0-2
Santos Laguna

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Toluca 10622 231220
2 Club America 9621 211020
3 Chivas Guadalajara 10532 171018
4 Queretaro 9522 13817
5 Leon 10523 141117
6 Atlas 10523 161717
7 Cruz Azul 10514 191816
8 Tijuana 9423 141314
9 Puebla 10424 111214
10 Monterrey 9414 161413
11 Pachuca 10334 151112
12 Unam Pumas 10334 141612
13 Atletico San Luis 10334 141812
14 Atlante 10253 121511
15 Tigres UANL 10244 101310
16 Santos Laguna 10316 101510
17 Necaxa 10226 12208
18 Juarez FC 10109 7253

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico San LuisSantos Laguna
Chivas Guadalajara 0-3 L 0-1 L
Monterrey 3-1 W 2-3 L
Pachuca 1-1 D 1-0 W
Club America 0-3 L 0-3 L
Tigres UANL 2-2 D 0-0 D
Cruz Azul 2-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Santos Laguna (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico San Luis

LDDLDWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Unam Pumas
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 3-2 23 W
20/09 Necaxa
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 3-1 22 W
15/09 Leon
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-2 23 L
06/09 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-2 0-3 31 L
31/08 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
2-0 3-1 13 W
24/08 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 1-1 13 D
17/08 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-3 53 L
01/08 Tijuana
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 53 D
26/07 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 2-2 33 D
18/07 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 2-3 43 L

Santos Laguna

LLLLLDLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX
1-0 1-0 105 W
21/09 Toluca
Mexico Liga MX
1-2 3-2 73 W
14/09 Juarez FC
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 2-1 128 W
07/09 Cruz Azul
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 51 L
30/08 Tigres UANL
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-0 126 D
23/08 Puebla
Mexico Liga MX
1-1 2-3 61 L
17/08 Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 51 L
03/08 Club America
Mexico Liga MX
0-1 0-3 111 L
26/07 Atlas
Mexico Liga MX
0-0 0-1 42 L
19/07 Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
1-3 2-3 50 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico San Luis win (49%). Probabilities: Atletico San Luis 49%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna 25%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?

The model expects 3 goals (Atletico San Luis 1.77 · Santos Laguna 1.23), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.