Prediction: Pachuca vs Necaxa
- Pachuca2-1Necaxa
- Necaxa0-1Pachuca
- Necaxa3-5Pachuca
- Pachuca6-2Necaxa
- Pachuca2-1Necaxa
- Necaxa1-1Pachuca
| Pachuca | Draw | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pachuca (rating 1500 vs 1421).
- H2H favours Pachuca: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pachuca | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pachuca 5–1–0 Necaxa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Necaxa |
| 04/10/25 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pachuca |
| 12/04/25 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 3-5 HT 1-2 | Pachuca |
| 03/11/24 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 6-2 HT 2-0 | Necaxa |
| 06/05/24 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Necaxa |
| 24/02/24 Mexico Liga MX | Necaxa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Pachuca |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Chivas Guadalajara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Leon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Puebla | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Unam Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlante | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 11 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pachuca | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| Atlante | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Atletico San Luis | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Puebla | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Leon | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Unam Pumas | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Pachuca (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pachuca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 30/08 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 24/08 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 27/07 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Necaxa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pachuca vs Necaxa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pachuca win (56%). Probabilities: Pachuca 56%, draw 25%, Necaxa 19%.
How many goals are expected in Pachuca vs Necaxa?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Pachuca 1.92 · Necaxa 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pachuca vs Necaxa?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.