Football · Mexico Liga MX · 22/10, 03:00

Prediction: Atlas vs Club America

Team pages: Atlas · Club America

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Atlas1.67

Club America1.35

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Atlas Draw Club America

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLDWDW

Club America 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLDWDW

Head-to-head

Atlas 1–5 Club America (6 last)

Club America0-1Atlas
Atlas2-4Club America
Atlas1-3Club America
Club America3-0Atlas
Club America2-1Atlas
Atlas1-5Club America

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Club America: 5-0-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlas	Club America
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	2.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.1	2.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.8	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.91

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.24 → 3.28▲	Pinn 3.28
X	3.58 → 3.63▲	Pinn 3.63
2	2.11 → 2.13▲	Pinn 2.13

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +9’	3.24	3.58	2.11
04:17 +3’	3.28▲	3.63▲	2.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlas 1–0–5 Club America

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Mexico Liga MX	Club America	0-1 HT 0-0	Atlas
25/08/25 Mexico Liga MX	Atlas	2-4 HT 1-1	Club America
16/03/25 Mexico Liga MX	Atlas	1-3 HT 0-0	Club America
18/09/24 Mexico Liga MX	Club America	3-0 HT 1-0	Atlas
10/08/24 Leagues Cup	Club America	2-1 HT 1-0	Atlas
03/03/24 Mexico Liga MX	Atlas	1-5 HT 1-2	Club America

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America	11	7	3	1	27	14	24
2	Toluca	12	6	3	3	26	16	21
3	Atlas	12	6	3	3	19	18	21
4	Chivas Guadalajara	12	5	5	2	19	12	20
5	Queretaro	11	6	2	3	15	13	20
6	Leon	12	5	3	4	18	17	18
7	Cruz Azul	11	5	2	4	22	21	17
8	Santos Laguna	12	5	1	6	17	16	16
9	Tijuana	11	4	4	3	15	14	16
10	Unam Pumas	12	4	4	4	19	20	16
11	Puebla	12	4	4	4	12	13	16
12	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17	15	14
13	Tigres UANL	12	3	5	4	14	16	14
14	Pachuca	11	3	4	4	18	14	13
15	Atletico San Luis	12	3	4	5	16	21	13
16	Atlante	12	2	5	5	13	19	11
17	Necaxa	12	2	3	7	15	25	9
18	Juarez FC	11	1	1	9	8	26	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlas	Club America
Necaxa	2-0 W	4-2 W
Chivas Guadalajara	1-1 D	2-2 D
Atlante	1-1 D	1-1 D
Cruz Azul	2-0 W	3-4 L
Monterrey	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlas

LWWLDLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
11/10	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	7	8	D
26/09	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	1-2	3-2	11	4	W
20/09	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-1	8	1	D
13/09	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-3	2-5	8	4	L
06/09	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
30/08	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
23/08	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
16/08	Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
02/08	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	0-1	0-2	6	10	L

Club America

DWWWWLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Leon Mexico Liga MX	2-0	5-3	2	8	W
11/10	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
28/09	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	2-2	4-2	5	5	W
20/09	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
13/09	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	0-3	3-4	9	7	L
30/08	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
22/08	Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX	1-1	2-1	7	6	W
17/08	Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
03/08	Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
25/07	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-1	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlas vs Club America?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlas win (44%). Probabilities: Atlas 44%, draw 26%, Club America 30%.

How many goals are expected in Atlas vs Club America?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Atlas 1.67 · Club America 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlas vs Club America?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.