Prediction: Monterrey vs Tijuana
Team pages: Monterrey · Tijuana
- Monterrey2-2Tijuana
- Tijuana2-2Monterrey
- Monterrey1-2Tijuana
- Tijuana2-2Monterrey
- Tijuana1-1Monterrey
- Monterrey3-1Tijuana
| Monterrey | Draw | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monterrey | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 7.6 | 3.2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monterrey 1–4–1 Tijuana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Tijuana |
| 06/10/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Monterrey |
| 30/03/25 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tijuana |
| 24/08/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Monterrey |
| 29/02/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Monterrey |
| 26/10/23 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Tijuana |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 26 |
| 3 | Chivas Guadalajara | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 22 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 20 |
| 8 | Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 20 |
| 9 | Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 19 |
| 12 | Unam Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
| 13 | Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 16 |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 10 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monterrey | Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| Chivas Guadalajara | 0-1 L | 2-5 L |
| Puebla | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Pachuca | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Cruz Azul | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Juarez FC | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Monterrey (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monterrey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/10 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/10 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 1-3 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
4-1 | 6-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
Tijuana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/10 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 17/10 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 26/09 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/08 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monterrey vs Tijuana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monterrey win (60%). Probabilities: Monterrey 60%, draw 22%, Tijuana 18%.
How many goals are expected in Monterrey vs Tijuana?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Monterrey 2.1 · Tijuana 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Tijuana?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.