Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 02/08, 17:30
Prediction: Slask Wroclaw vs Rakow Czestochowa
Team pages: Slask Wroclaw · Rakow Czestochowa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Slask Wroclaw1.38
Rakow Czestochowa1.55
1X2
Slask Wroclaw
Draw
Rakow Czestochowa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Slask Wroclaw
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Rakow Czestochowa
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slask Wroclaw
1–2–3
Rakow Czestochowa
(6 last)
- Slask Wroclaw1-2Rakow Czestochowa
- Rakow Czestochowa3-0Slask Wroclaw
- Slask Wroclaw0-0Rakow Czestochowa
- Rakow Czestochowa1-2Slask Wroclaw
- Slask Wroclaw1-1Rakow Czestochowa
- Rakow Czestochowa4-1Slask Wroclaw
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw 1566 · Rakow Czestochowa 1506
| Slask Wroclaw | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slask Wroclaw (rating 1566 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Rakow Czestochowa: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slask Wroclaw | Rakow Czestochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slask Wroclaw 1–2–3 Rakow Czestochowa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/25 Poland Cup | Slask Wroclaw | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 25/04/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Rakow Czestochowa | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 26/10/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 25/05/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Rakow Czestochowa | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 03/12/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 10/03/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Rakow Czestochowa | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Slask Wroclaw |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie Lubin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Radomiak Radom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wisla Krakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Legia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Cracovia Krakow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Rakow Czestochowa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Wieczysta Krakow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slask Wroclaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Odra Opole Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Lechia Zielona Góra Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Bielawianka Bielawa Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 11-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Gornik Leczna Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Rakow Czestochowa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/07 | Valletta UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/07 | GKS Katowice Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | PSV Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/07 | Olympiacos Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Zulte-Waregem Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Piast Gliwice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
3-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw vs Rakow Czestochowa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rakow Czestochowa win (41%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw 33%, draw 26%, Rakow Czestochowa 41%.
How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw vs Rakow Czestochowa?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Slask Wroclaw 1.38 · Rakow Czestochowa 1.55), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw vs Rakow Czestochowa?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.