Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 01/08, 17:30

Prediction: Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan

Team pages: Wieczysta Krakow · Lech Poznan

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Wieczysta Krakow1.13
Lech Poznan1.73
1X2
24% 26% 51%
Wieczysta Krakow Draw Lech Poznan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wieczysta Krakow 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWWLLDWLL
Lech Poznan 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDWWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wieczysta Krakow 1505 · Lech Poznan 1588
Wieczysta KrakowDrawLech Poznan
Our model24%26%50%
Market24%25%51%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lech Poznan (rating 1505 vs 1588).
  • High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wieczysta KrakowLech Poznan
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.62.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 11.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.43.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.33.1 / 0.2

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Zaglebie Lubin 1100 203
2 Gornik Zabrze 1100 213
2 Radomiak Radom 1100 213
2 Wisla Krakow 1100 213
2 Wisla Plock 1100 213
6 Jagiellonia Bialystok 1100 103
6 Legia Warsaw 1100 103
8 Motor Lublin 1010 221
8 Widzew Lodz 1010 221
10 Lech Poznan 1010 001
10 Cracovia Krakow 1010 001
12 GKS Katowice 1001 120
12 Rakow Czestochowa 1001 120
12 Wieczysta Krakow 1001 120
12 Slask Wroclaw 1001 120
16 Korona Kielce 1001 010
16 Pogon Szczecin 1001 010
18 Piast Gliwice 1001 020

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wieczysta Krakow

WDWWLLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Radomiak Radom
Poland Ekstraklasa
0-1 1-2 29 L
18/07 Maccabi Netanya
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 102 L
10/07 Ruch Chorzow
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-0 70 W
05/07 Slavia Prague
Club Friendly List
1-2 2-2 D
02/07 SK Artis Brno
Europe Friendlies
1-2 1-2 91 L
28/06 Dynamo Kiev
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-4 L
31/05 Chrobry Glogow
Poland I Liga
1-1 2-1 35 W
28/05 Polonia Warsaw
Poland I Liga
2-1 3-2 93 W
24/05 Chrobry Glogow
Poland I Liga
1-1 1-1 70 D
16/05 Stal Rzeszow
Poland I Liga
3-1 5-1 44 W

Lech Poznan

WWWDWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Cracovia Krakow
Poland Ekstraklasa
0-0 0-0 94 D
21/07 AGF Aarhus
UEFA Champions League Qualifying
2-0 4-1 24 W
16/07 Gornik Zabrze
Poland Super Cup
1-1 3-1 34 W
04/07 FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-1 20 W
23/05 Wisla Plock
Poland Ekstraklasa
1-0 2-2 53 D
16/05 Radomiak Radom
Poland Ekstraklasa
2-1 3-1 45 W
08/05 Arka Gdynia
Poland Ekstraklasa
0-0 1-1 155 D
02/05 Motor Lublin
Poland Ekstraklasa
1-0 1-0 70 W
26/04 Legia Warsaw
Poland Ekstraklasa
4-0 4-0 52 W
18/04 Pogon Szczecin
Poland Ekstraklasa
1-0 2-1 66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lech Poznan win (51%). Probabilities: Wieczysta Krakow 24%, draw 26%, Lech Poznan 51%.

How many goals are expected in Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Wieczysta Krakow 1.13 · Lech Poznan 1.73), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wieczysta Krakow vs Lech Poznan?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.