Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 01/08, 14:45
Prediction: Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow
Team pages: Piast Gliwice · Wisla Krakow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Piast Gliwice1.34
Wisla Krakow1.11
1X2
Piast Gliwice
Draw
Wisla Krakow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Piast Gliwice
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Wisla Krakow
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Piast Gliwice
3–1–2
Wisla Krakow
(6 last)
- Wisla Krakow2-1Piast Gliwice
- Wisla Krakow2-2Piast Gliwice
- Piast Gliwice1-0Wisla Krakow
- Piast Gliwice2-3Wisla Krakow
- Wisla Krakow3-4Piast Gliwice
- Piast Gliwice4-0Wisla Krakow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Piast Gliwice 1486 · Wisla Krakow 1537
| Piast Gliwice | Draw | Wisla Krakow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wisla Krakow (rating 1486 vs 1537).
- H2H favours Piast Gliwice: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Piast Gliwice | Wisla Krakow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 3.6 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Piast Gliwice 3–1–2 Wisla Krakow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/24 Poland Cup | Wisla Krakow | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Piast Gliwice |
| 03/04/22 Poland Ekstraklasa | Wisla Krakow | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Piast Gliwice |
| 01/10/21 Poland Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wisla Krakow |
| 16/05/21 Poland Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Wisla Krakow |
| 31/01/21 Poland Ekstraklasa | Wisla Krakow | 3-4 HT 3-2 | Piast Gliwice |
| 30/05/20 Poland Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Wisla Krakow |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie Lubin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Radomiak Radom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wisla Krakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Legia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Cracovia Krakow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Rakow Czestochowa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Wieczysta Krakow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Piast Gliwice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 08/07 | Miedz Legnica Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Banik Ostrava Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | GKS Katowice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Rakow Czestochowa Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Wisla Krakow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | SK Artis Brno Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala II Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Wrexham Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | MFK Karvina Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Puszcza Niepolomice Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Piast Gliwice win (41%). Probabilities: Piast Gliwice 41%, draw 30%, Wisla Krakow 30%.
How many goals are expected in Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Piast Gliwice 1.34 · Wisla Krakow 1.11), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.