Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 03/09, 18:00

Prediction: Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze

Team pages: Rakow Czestochowa · Gornik Zabrze

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Rakow Czestochowa1.6

Gornik Zabrze1.24

1X2

45% 27% 28%

Rakow Czestochowa Draw Gornik Zabrze

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Rakow Czestochowa 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLLLL

Gornik Zabrze 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Rakow Czestochowa 1–1–4 Gornik Zabrze (6 last)

Gornik Zabrze2-0Rakow Czestochowa
Gornik Zabrze3-1Rakow Czestochowa
Rakow Czestochowa0-1Gornik Zabrze
Rakow Czestochowa1-0Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze0-0Rakow Czestochowa
Rakow Czestochowa0-1Gornik Zabrze

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gornik Zabrze: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rakow Czestochowa	Gornik Zabrze
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	3.6 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.01

Under 2.751.81

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:32

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.20
X	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
2	3.17 → 3.17	Pinn 3.17

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:29 +3’	2.20	3.51	3.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rakow Czestochowa 1–1–4 Gornik Zabrze

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Poland Cup	Gornik Zabrze	2-0 HT 1-0	Rakow Czestochowa
15/03/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	3-1 HT 2-0	Rakow Czestochowa
15/09/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Rakow Czestochowa	0-1 HT 0-1	Gornik Zabrze
21/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Rakow Czestochowa	1-0 HT 1-0	Gornik Zabrze
18/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	0-0 HT 0-0	Rakow Czestochowa
19/04/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Rakow Czestochowa	0-1 HT 0-0	Gornik Zabrze

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Legia Warsaw	6	3	3	0	12	4	12
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
3	Wisla Krakow	6	3	1	2	12	10	10
4	GKS Katowice	5	3	0	2	12	6	9
5	Gornik Zabrze	4	3	0	1	9	6	9
6	Jagiellonia Bialystok	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
7	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	2	1	7	4	8
8	Korona Kielce	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
9	Zaglebie Lubin	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
10	Cracovia Krakow	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
11	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	10	13	7
12	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	6	13	7
13	Widzew Lodz	6	1	3	2	10	10	6
14	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	3	2	8	9	6
15	Motor Lublin	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
16	Wisla Plock	5	1	1	3	3	10	4
17	Wieczysta Krakow	5	1	0	4	8	12	3
18	Rakow Czestochowa	4	0	0	4	5	11	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rakow Czestochowa	Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia Bialystok	2-5 L	2-1 W
Slask Wroclaw	1-2 L	2-1 W
Wisla Plock	1-2 L	1-0 W
Arka Gdynia	3-0 W	0-0 D
Korona Kielce	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gornik Zabrze (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rakow Czestochowa

WWWLWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	1-2	2-5	5	2	L
16/08	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-2	5	1	L
02/08	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
26/07	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
23/05	Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
17/05	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	3-0	3-1	0	7	W
13/05	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
08/05	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
25/04	Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
19/04	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	4-1	2	4	W

Gornik Zabrze

WWLDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-3	13	1	L
16/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
08/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	3-1	3	8	W
25/07	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
23/05	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	5-0	6-2	6	5	W
16/05	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
13/05	Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
09/05	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	15	1	L
24/04	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
18/04	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rakow Czestochowa win (45%). Probabilities: Rakow Czestochowa 45%, draw 27%, Gornik Zabrze 28%.

How many goals are expected in Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Rakow Czestochowa 1.6 · Gornik Zabrze 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.