Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 05/09, 20:15
Prediction: Motor Lublin vs Legia Warsaw
Team pages: Motor Lublin · Legia Warsaw
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Motor Lublin1.19
Legia Warsaw1.61
1X2
Motor Lublin
Draw
Legia Warsaw
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Motor Lublin
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Legia Warsaw
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Motor Lublin
1–2–3
Legia Warsaw
(6 last)
- Legia Warsaw4-0Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin1-1Legia Warsaw
- Motor Lublin3-3Legia Warsaw
- Legia Warsaw5-2Motor Lublin
- Legia Warsaw4-0Motor Lublin
- Legia Warsaw2-3Motor Lublin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Legia Warsaw (rating 1485 vs 1603).
- H2H favours Legia Warsaw: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Motor Lublin | Legia Warsaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.8 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Motor Lublin 1–2–3 Legia Warsaw
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Motor Lublin |
| 01/12/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Legia Warsaw |
| 10/03/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Legia Warsaw |
| 01/09/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Motor Lublin |
| 10/12/22 Europe Friendlies | Legia Warsaw | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Motor Lublin |
| 01/07/22 Europe Friendlies | Legia Warsaw | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Motor Lublin |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Wisla Krakow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Cracovia Krakow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Slask Wroclaw | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Motor Lublin | Legia Warsaw |
|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Korona Kielce | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Pogon Szczecin | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Widzew Lodz | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Legia Warsaw (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Motor Lublin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
Legia Warsaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
4-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Motor Lublin vs Legia Warsaw?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Legia Warsaw win (46%). Probabilities: Motor Lublin 27%, draw 27%, Legia Warsaw 46%.
How many goals are expected in Motor Lublin vs Legia Warsaw?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Motor Lublin 1.19 · Legia Warsaw 1.61), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Motor Lublin vs Legia Warsaw?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.