Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 06/09, 14:45
Prediction: Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze
Team pages: Cracovia Krakow · Gornik Zabrze
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Cracovia Krakow1.28
Gornik Zabrze1.2
1X2
Cracovia Krakow
Draw
Gornik Zabrze
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cracovia Krakow
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Gornik Zabrze
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cracovia Krakow
3–1–2
Gornik Zabrze
(6 last)
- Gornik Zabrze3-0Cracovia Krakow
- Cracovia Krakow1-1Gornik Zabrze
- Gornik Zabrze0-1Cracovia Krakow
- Cracovia Krakow3-2Gornik Zabrze
- Cracovia Krakow5-0Gornik Zabrze
- Gornik Zabrze1-0Cracovia Krakow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cracovia Krakow 1518 · Gornik Zabrze 1516
| Cracovia Krakow | Draw | Gornik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cracovia Krakow: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cracovia Krakow | Gornik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/90/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7 | 3.5 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cracovia Krakow 3–1–2 Gornik Zabrze
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Gornik Zabrze | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cracovia Krakow |
| 27/09/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gornik Zabrze |
| 28/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Gornik Zabrze | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cracovia Krakow |
| 24/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Gornik Zabrze |
| 03/05/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Gornik Zabrze |
| 06/11/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Gornik Zabrze | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cracovia Krakow |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Legia Warsaw | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Cracovia Krakow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Slask Wroclaw | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cracovia Krakow | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Rakow Czestochowa | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Slask Wroclaw | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gornik Zabrze (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cracovia Krakow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 03/05 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
Gornik Zabrze
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/07 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
5-0 | 6-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 15 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cracovia Krakow win (38%). Probabilities: Cracovia Krakow 38%, draw 28%, Gornik Zabrze 34%.
How many goals are expected in Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Cracovia Krakow 1.28 · Gornik Zabrze 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cracovia Krakow vs Gornik Zabrze?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.