Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 15/09, 20:30

Prediction: Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze

Team pages: Korona Kielce · Gornik Zabrze

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Korona Kielce1.27

Gornik Zabrze0.95

1X2

42% 31% 26%

Korona Kielce Draw Gornik Zabrze

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Korona Kielce 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWDWDW

Gornik Zabrze 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Korona Kielce 0–2–4 Gornik Zabrze (6 last)

Gornik Zabrze1-0Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce1-1Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze1-1Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce2-4Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze3-1Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce0-1Gornik Zabrze

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gornik Zabrze: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Korona Kielce	Gornik Zabrze
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	3.4 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.99

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.66 → 2.66	Pinn 2.66
X	3.44 → 3.44	Pinn 3.44
2	2.57 → 2.57	Pinn 2.57

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:01 +41’	2.66	3.44	2.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Korona Kielce 0–2–4 Gornik Zabrze

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	1-0 HT 0-0	Korona Kielce
18/10/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Korona Kielce	1-1 HT 1-0	Gornik Zabrze
24/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	1-1 HT 0-0	Korona Kielce
01/12/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Korona Kielce	2-4 HT 0-0	Gornik Zabrze
19/02/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	3-1 HT 2-0	Korona Kielce
12/08/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Korona Kielce	0-1 HT 0-0	Gornik Zabrze

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	6	5	1	0	11	4	16
2	Legia Warsaw	7	4	3	0	15	6	15
3	Gornik Zabrze	6	5	0	1	12	7	15
4	Wisla Krakow	8	4	2	2	15	11	14
5	Jagiellonia Bialystok	7	4	0	3	11	10	12
6	Piast Gliwice	7	3	1	3	13	13	10
7	GKS Katowice	6	3	0	3	12	9	9
8	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
9	Korona Kielce	6	2	3	1	7	5	9
10	Zaglebie Lubin	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
11	Cracovia Krakow	7	2	2	3	6	8	8
12	Radomiak Radom	7	2	2	3	6	13	8
13	Widzew Lodz	7	1	4	2	10	10	7
14	Slask Wroclaw	7	1	3	3	9	11	6
15	Motor Lublin	8	1	2	5	9	15	5
16	Wisla Plock	6	1	2	3	4	11	5
17	Wieczysta Krakow	6	1	1	4	9	13	4
18	Rakow Czestochowa	7	1	0	6	8	15	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Korona Kielce	Gornik Zabrze
Slask Wroclaw	2-1 W	2-1 W
Wisla Krakow	1-1 D	2-1 W
Wisla Plock	2-0 W	1-0 W
Cracovia Krakow	1-1 D	1-0 W
Rakow Czestochowa	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gornik Zabrze (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Korona Kielce

LWDLDWDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
05/09	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
28/08	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-0	0	1	W
22/08	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	3	8	D
15/08	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
08/08	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
25/07	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
23/05	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	1	0	D
15/05	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
08/05	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	2	3	L

Gornik Zabrze

LDWWWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
03/09	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
30/08	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-3	13	1	L
16/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
08/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	3-1	3	8	W
25/07	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
23/05	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	5-0	6-2	6	5	W
16/05	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
13/05	Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
09/05	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	15	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Korona Kielce win (42%). Probabilities: Korona Kielce 42%, draw 31%, Gornik Zabrze 26%.

How many goals are expected in Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Korona Kielce 1.27 · Gornik Zabrze 0.95), with a 60% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.