Football · France Ligue 2 · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93

Team pages: Montpellier · Red Star FC 93

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

Montpellier1.23

Red Star FC 931.04

1X2

40% 29% 31%

Montpellier Draw Red Star FC 93

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Montpellier 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWWDLWDW

Red Star FC 93 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Montpellier 0–2–0 Red Star FC 93 (2 last)

Red Star FC 931-1Montpellier
Montpellier1-1Red Star FC 93

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montpellier 1553 · Red Star FC 93 1528

	Montpellier	Draw	Red Star FC 93
Our model	39%	31%	30%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Montpellier	Red Star FC 93
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.9	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.20

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +2’	2.20	3.20	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Montpellier 0–2–0 Red Star FC 93

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 France Ligue 2	Red Star FC 93	1-1 HT 1-0	Montpellier
09/08/25 France Ligue 2	Montpellier	1-1 HT 1-1	Red Star FC 93

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	9	7	1	1	22	8	22
2	Reims	9	4	5	0	19	11	17
3	Red Star FC 93	9	5	2	2	12	10	17
4	Nancy	9	5	1	3	11	8	16
5	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	8	5	15
6	Pau	9	4	2	3	11	9	14
7	Metz	9	3	4	2	15	13	13
8	Annecy	9	4	1	4	11	11	13
9	Dijon	9	3	3	3	16	16	12
10	Dunkerque	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
11	Sochaux	9	2	5	2	7	9	11
12	Boulogne	9	1	6	2	6	6	9
13	Guingamp	9	2	2	5	11	15	8
14	Nantes	9	2	2	5	11	16	8
15	Grenoble	9	2	2	5	8	15	8
16	Clermont Foot	9	0	7	2	9	12	7
17	Rodez Aveyron	8	2	1	5	14	18	7
18	Laval	9	1	3	5	13	20	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montpellier	Red Star FC 93
Reims	1-1 D	1-4 L
St Etienne	1-3 L	0-1 L
Boulogne	0-0 D	1-1 D
Clermont Foot	1-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Red Star FC 93 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montpellier

LDDWWDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Grenoble France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
18/09	Reims France Ligue 2	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
11/09	Pau France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	St Etienne France Ligue 2	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
28/08	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
21/08	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
14/08	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
08/08	Dijon France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
09/05	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
02/05	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	1-2	1-2	11	4	L

Red Star FC 93

DWDDLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	St Etienne France Ligue 2	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
10/10	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
19/09	Guingamp France Ligue 2	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
14/09	Metz France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
04/09	Laval France Ligue 2	2-0	2-1	6	7	W
29/08	Reims France Ligue 2	1-2	1-4	7	6	L
21/08	Boulogne France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
14/08	Sochaux France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	12	2	D
08/08	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
09/05	Montpellier France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montpellier win (40%). Probabilities: Montpellier 40%, draw 29%, Red Star FC 93 31%.

How many goals are expected in Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Montpellier 1.23 · Red Star FC 93 1.04), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.