Football · France Ligue 2 · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Annecy vs Montpellier

Team pages: Annecy · Montpellier

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Annecy0.95

Montpellier1.23

1X2

28% 30% 42%

Annecy Draw Montpellier

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Annecy 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLLWLW

Montpellier 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDLWDWW

Head-to-head

Annecy 0–1–1 Montpellier (2 last)

Annecy0-0Montpellier
Montpellier1-0Annecy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Annecy 1507 · Montpellier 1574

	Annecy	Draw	Montpellier
Our model	27%	32%	41%
Market	29%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpellier (rating 1507 vs 1574).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Annecy	Montpellier
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.7	2.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:05 +8’	3.10	3.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Annecy 0–1–1 Montpellier

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 France Ligue 2	Annecy	0-0 HT 0-0	Montpellier
07/11/25 France Ligue 2	Montpellier	1-0 HT 0-0	Annecy

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	10	8	1	1	23	8	25
2	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
3	Montpellier	9	5	3	1	11	5	18
4	Reims	9	4	5	0	19	11	17
5	Pau	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
6	Red Star FC 93	9	5	2	2	12	10	17
7	Annecy	10	5	1	4	14	12	16
8	Metz	10	3	5	2	16	14	14
9	Dijon	10	3	3	4	17	18	12
10	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	14	16	12
11	Guingamp	10	3	2	5	13	15	11
12	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	11
13	Rodez Aveyron	10	3	1	6	16	22	10
14	Boulogne	9	1	6	2	6	6	9
15	Nantes	10	2	2	6	11	17	8
16	Grenoble	10	2	2	6	9	17	8
17	Clermont Foot	10	0	7	3	9	14	7
18	Laval	10	1	3	6	13	21	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Annecy	Montpellier
Nancy	1-2 L	1-0 W
Dunkerque	1-0 W	1-0 W
Dijon	1-2 L	1-1 D
Grenoble	2-1 W	2-0 W
Reims	1-3 L	1-1 D
Rodez Aveyron	2-0 W	3-0 W
Pau	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Montpellier (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Annecy

WWLDWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Sochaux France Ligue 2	1-0	3-1	6	2	W
16/10	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
09/10	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-0	1-0	10	7	W
18/09	Dijon France Ligue 2	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Guingamp France Ligue 2	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
04/09	Grenoble France Ligue 2	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
29/08	Metz France Ligue 2	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
24/08	Reims France Ligue 2	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
14/08	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
08/08	Pau France Ligue 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W

Montpellier

DDWWDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
09/10	Grenoble France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
18/09	Reims France Ligue 2	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
11/09	Pau France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	St Etienne France Ligue 2	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
28/08	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
21/08	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
14/08	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
08/08	Dijon France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
09/05	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Annecy vs Montpellier?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Montpellier win (42%). Probabilities: Annecy 28%, draw 30%, Montpellier 42%.

How many goals are expected in Annecy vs Montpellier?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Annecy 0.95 · Montpellier 1.23), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Annecy vs Montpellier?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.