Football · France Ligue 2 · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Reims vs Sochaux

Team pages: Reims · Sochaux

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Reims1.97

Sochaux1.01

1X2

58% 24% 17%

Reims Draw Sochaux

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Reims 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDWDDW

Sochaux 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWDDLL

Head-to-head

Reims 4–1–1 Sochaux (6 last)

Reims3-1Sochaux
Sochaux2-2Reims
Reims3-0Sochaux
Reims3-0Sochaux
Sochaux2-4Reims
Reims0-1Sochaux

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reims 1586 · Sochaux 1473

	Reims	Draw	Sochaux
Our model	59%	23%	18%
Market	58%	25%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reims (rating 1586 vs 1473).
H2H favours Reims: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Reims	Sochaux
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.4	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.8	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.60

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +5’	1.55	3.60	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Reims 4–1–1 Sochaux

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Reims	3-1 HT 0-0	Sochaux
21/01/24 France Cup	Sochaux	2-2 HT 2-1	Reims
08/12/22 Europe Friendlies	Reims	3-0 HT 1-0	Sochaux
09/02/18 France Ligue 2	Reims	3-0 HT 1-0	Sochaux
16/09/17 France Ligue 2	Sochaux	2-4 HT 1-1	Reims
11/02/17 France Ligue 2	Reims	0-1 HT 0-1	Sochaux

Standings · France Ligue 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	10	8	1	1	23	8	25
2	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
3	Montpellier	9	5	3	1	11	5	18
4	Reims	9	4	5	0	19	11	17
5	Pau	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
6	Red Star FC 93	9	5	2	2	12	10	17
7	Annecy	10	5	1	4	14	12	16
8	Metz	10	3	5	2	16	14	14
9	Dijon	10	3	3	4	17	18	12
10	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	14	16	12
11	Guingamp	10	3	2	5	13	15	11
12	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	11
13	Rodez Aveyron	10	3	1	6	16	22	10
14	Boulogne	9	1	6	2	6	6	9
15	Nantes	10	2	2	6	11	17	8
16	Grenoble	10	2	2	6	9	17	8
17	Clermont Foot	10	0	7	3	9	14	7
18	Laval	10	1	3	6	13	21	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Reims	Sochaux
Nantes	0-0 D	1-0 W
Guingamp	2-2 D	1-0 W
Red Star FC 93	4-1 W	0-0 D
Annecy	3-1 W	1-3 L
Clermont Foot	0-0 D	0-0 D
Pau	5-3 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Reims (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reims

WDDWWDWDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Dijon France Ligue 2	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
10/10	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
18/09	Montpellier France Ligue 2	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
11/09	Nancy France Ligue 2	2-0	2-1	0	3	W
05/09	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-1	2-2	0	2	D
29/08	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	2-1	4-1	2	6	W
24/08	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-1	3-1	4	0	W
14/08	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-1	3-3	2	7	D
08/08	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
09/05	Pau France Ligue 2	2-2	5-3	4	3	W

Sochaux

LDWDDWDDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-1	1-3	12	2	L
17/10	Metz France Ligue 2	0-2	2-3	5	3	L
09/10	Boulogne France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
18/09	Laval France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
04/09	Pau France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
28/08	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
21/08	Guingamp France Ligue 2	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
14/08	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/08	St Etienne France Ligue 2	0-3	0-3	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reims vs Sochaux?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reims win (58%). Probabilities: Reims 58%, draw 24%, Sochaux 17%.

How many goals are expected in Reims vs Sochaux?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Reims 1.97 · Sochaux 1.01), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Reims vs Sochaux?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.