Football · France Ligue 2 · 02/11, 20:45

Prediction: Red Star FC 93 vs Nancy

Team pages: Red Star FC 93 · Nancy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Red Star FC 931.32

Nancy1.08

1X2

41% 29% 29%

Red Star FC 93 Draw Nancy

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Red Star FC 93 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWWWLL

Nancy 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Red Star FC 93 4–2–0 Nancy (6 last)

Red Star FC 932-1Nancy
Nancy0-1Red Star FC 93
Red Star FC 931-1Nancy
Nancy1-1Red Star FC 93
Nancy1-4Red Star FC 93
Red Star FC 931-0Nancy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Red Star FC 93 1533 · Nancy 1521

	Red Star FC 93	Draw	Nancy
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Red Star FC 93: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Red Star FC 93	Nancy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.31
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.53 ★
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:26 +1’	2.15	3.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +20’	2.31	3.53	2.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Red Star FC 93 4–2–0 Nancy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 France Ligue 2	Red Star FC 93	2-1 HT 1-0	Nancy
19/09/25 France Ligue 2	Nancy	0-1 HT 0-0	Red Star FC 93
22/03/24 France Ligue 3	Red Star FC 93	1-1 HT 0-0	Nancy
11/10/23 France Ligue 3	Nancy	1-1 HT 1-1	Red Star FC 93
17/04/23 France Ligue 3	Nancy	1-4 HT 0-1	Red Star FC 93
25/11/22 France Ligue 3	Red Star FC 93	1-0 HT 1-0	Nancy

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	10	8	1	1	23	8	25
2	Montpellier	10	6	3	1	13	6	21
3	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
4	Reims	10	4	6	0	20	12	18
5	Pau	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
6	Red Star FC 93	10	5	2	3	13	12	17
7	Annecy	10	5	1	4	14	12	16
8	Metz	10	3	5	2	16	14	14
9	Dijon	10	3	3	4	17	18	12
10	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	14	16	12
11	Guingamp	10	3	2	5	13	15	11
12	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	11
13	Boulogne	10	1	7	2	7	7	10
14	Rodez Aveyron	10	3	1	6	16	22	10
15	Nantes	10	2	2	6	11	17	8
16	Grenoble	10	2	2	6	9	17	8
17	Clermont Foot	10	0	7	3	9	14	7
18	Laval	10	1	3	6	13	21	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Red Star FC 93	Nancy
Montpellier	1-2 L	0-1 L
Guingamp	3-1 W	1-0 W
Laval	2-1 W	1-0 W
Reims	1-4 L	1-2 L
Boulogne	1-1 D	0-0 D
Nantes	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Red Star FC 93 (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Red Star FC 93

WDDLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
17/10	St Etienne France Ligue 2	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
10/10	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
19/09	Guingamp France Ligue 2	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
14/09	Metz France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
04/09	Laval France Ligue 2	2-0	2-1	6	7	W
29/08	Reims France Ligue 2	1-2	1-4	7	6	L
21/08	Boulogne France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
14/08	Sochaux France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	12	2	D
08/08	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	8	5	W

Nancy

DLWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Laval France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/10	Annecy France Ligue 2	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
09/10	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
18/09	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	1-2	4-3	5	3	W
11/09	Reims France Ligue 2	0-2	1-2	5	3	L
07/09	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
28/08	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
21/08	Pau France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
14/08	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
08/08	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	6	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Red Star FC 93 vs Nancy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Red Star FC 93 win (41%). Probabilities: Red Star FC 93 41%, draw 29%, Nancy 29%.

How many goals are expected in Red Star FC 93 vs Nancy?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Red Star FC 93 1.32 · Nancy 1.08), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Red Star FC 93 vs Nancy?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.