Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 24/07, 18:00
Prediction: Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Krakow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Radomiak Radom1.57
Wieczysta Krakow1.45
1X2
Radomiak Radom
Draw
Wieczysta Krakow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Radomiak Radom
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Wieczysta Krakow
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Radomiak Radom
0–1
Wieczysta Krakow
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radomiak Radom 1428 · Wieczysta Krakow 1512
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Wieczysta Krakow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wieczysta Krakow (rating 1428 vs 1512).
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Radomiak Radom | Wieczysta Krakow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.6 | 2.9 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Radomiak Radom 0–0–1 Wieczysta Krakow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/25 Europe Friendlies | Radomiak Radom | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Wieczysta Krakow |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKS Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Korona Kielce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cracovia Krakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Radomiak Radom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rakow Czestochowa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wieczysta Krakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wisla Krakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Slask Wroclaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zaglebie Lubin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radomiak Radom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Legia Warsaw II Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Legia Warsaw Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Dynamo Kiev Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | LKS Lodz Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 04/05 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Wieczysta Krakow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Maccabi Netanya Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Ruch Chorzow Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 05/07 | Slavia Prague Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/07 | SK Artis Brno Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Dynamo Kiev Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Krakow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Radomiak Radom win (39%). Probabilities: Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 27%, Wieczysta Krakow 34%.
How many goals are expected in Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Krakow?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Radomiak Radom 1.57 · Wieczysta Krakow 1.45), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Radomiak Radom vs Wieczysta Krakow?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.