Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 26/07, 18:00
Prediction: Boroughmuir Thistle (W) vs Kilmarnock (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)1.39
Kilmarnock (W)1.77
1X2
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Draw
Kilmarnock (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Kilmarnock (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
3–1–2
Kilmarnock (W)
(6 last)
- Kilmarnock (W)0-1Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
- Boroughmuir Thistle (W)3-2Kilmarnock (W)
- Kilmarnock (W)2-0Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1503 · Kilmarnock (W) 1496
| Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | Draw | Kilmarnock (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Market | 31% | 21% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Boroughmuir Thistle (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | Kilmarnock (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 3.7 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 3–1–2 Kilmarnock (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Kilmarnock (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) |
| 05/04/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 3-2 | Kilmarnock (W) |
| 16/11/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Kilmarnock (W) | 2-0 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) |
| 24/08/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Kilmarnock (W) |
| 04/05/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Kilmarnock (W) |
| 17/11/24 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kilmarnock (W) |
Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dundee Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Falkirk (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hamilton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kilmarnock (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Livingston (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queens Park (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Renfrew Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Johnstone (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | Kilmarnock (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Queens Park (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Gartcairn FC (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Spartans (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Dundee Utd (W) | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kilmarnock (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 22/03 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/03 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
Kilmarnock (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 29/04 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/03 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boroughmuir Thistle (W) vs Kilmarnock (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kilmarnock (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 30%, draw 23%, Kilmarnock (W) 47%.
How many goals are expected in Boroughmuir Thistle (W) vs Kilmarnock (W)?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1.39 · Kilmarnock (W) 1.77), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Boroughmuir Thistle (W) vs Kilmarnock (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.