Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 02/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kilmarnock (W) vs Dundee Utd (W)
Team pages: Kilmarnock (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Kilmarnock (W)2.06
Dundee Utd (W)0.85
1X2
Kilmarnock (W)
Draw
Dundee Utd (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Kilmarnock (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Dundee Utd (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kilmarnock (W)
2–3–1
Dundee Utd (W)
(6 last)
- Dundee Utd (W)2-2Kilmarnock (W)
- Kilmarnock (W)2-1Dundee Utd (W)
- Dundee Utd (W)0-5Kilmarnock (W)
- Dundee Utd (W)1-1Kilmarnock (W)
- Kilmarnock (W)0-0Dundee Utd (W)
- Dundee Utd (W)2-1Kilmarnock (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kilmarnock (W) 1511 · Dundee Utd (W) 1410
| Kilmarnock (W) | Draw | Dundee Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kilmarnock (W) (rating 1511 vs 1410).
- H2H favours Kilmarnock (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kilmarnock (W) | Dundee Utd (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.5 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kilmarnock (W) 2–3–1 Dundee Utd (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Dundee Utd (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Kilmarnock (W) |
| 15/03/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Kilmarnock (W) | 2-1 | Dundee Utd (W) |
| 01/02/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Dundee Utd (W) | 0-5 HT 0-4 | Kilmarnock (W) |
| 07/09/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Dundee Utd (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Kilmarnock (W) |
| 31/08/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Kilmarnock (W) | 0-0 | Dundee Utd (W) |
| 23/05/24 Scotland Women’s League Play-Offs | Dundee Utd (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kilmarnock (W) |
Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Montrose LFC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Livingston (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Hamilton (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Renfrew Women | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Spartans (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | St Johnstone (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Aberdeen (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Falkirk (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Motherwell (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kilmarnock (W) | Dundee Utd (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Queens Park (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Gartcairn FC (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Spartans (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Kilmarnock (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kilmarnock (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 29/04 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/03 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Dundee Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Renfrew Women Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 29/04 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/04 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/03 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kilmarnock (W) vs Dundee Utd (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kilmarnock (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Kilmarnock (W) 65%, draw 20%, Dundee Utd (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Kilmarnock (W) vs Dundee Utd (W)?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Kilmarnock (W) 2.06 · Dundee Utd (W) 0.85), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kilmarnock (W) vs Dundee Utd (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.