Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 02/08, 14:00
Prediction: Spartans (W) vs Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Team pages: Spartans (W) · Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Spartans (W)1.26
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)1
1X2
Spartans (W)
Draw
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spartans (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartans (W)
2–1–1
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
(4 last)
- Boroughmuir Thistle (W)0-2Spartans (W)
- Spartans (W)1-0Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
- Boroughmuir Thistle (W)1-0Spartans (W)
- Spartans (W)0-0Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spartans (W) 1616 · Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1508
| Spartans (W) | Draw | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (W) (rating 1616 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Spartans (W): 2-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartans (W) | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.3 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 75/0/25% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.3 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartans (W) 2–1–1 Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 0-2 | Spartans (W) |
| 15/03/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Spartans (W) | 1-0 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) |
| 23/11/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 1-0 | Spartans (W) |
| 14/09/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Spartans (W) | 0-0 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) |
Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Montrose LFC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Livingston (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Hamilton (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Renfrew Women | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Spartans (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | St Johnstone (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Aberdeen (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Falkirk (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Motherwell (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartans (W) | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Queens Park (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Dundee Utd (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Gartcairn FC (W) | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Kilmarnock (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartans (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartans (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Queens Park (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/03 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 22/03 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartans (W) vs Boroughmuir Thistle (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartans (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Spartans (W) 43%, draw 28%, Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 30%.
How many goals are expected in Spartans (W) vs Boroughmuir Thistle (W)?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Spartans (W) 1.26 · Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartans (W) vs Boroughmuir Thistle (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.