Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: Motherwell (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Motherwell (W)1.9
Montrose LFC (W)1.22
1X2
Motherwell (W)
Draw
Montrose LFC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Motherwell (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Montrose LFC (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Motherwell (W)
4–1–1
Montrose LFC (W)
(6 last)
- Montrose LFC (W)1-2Motherwell (W)
- Motherwell (W)5-1Montrose LFC (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)1-1Motherwell (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Motherwell (W) 1514 · Montrose LFC (W) 1513
| Motherwell (W) | Draw | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 23% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Motherwell (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Motherwell (W) | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.8 | 2.7 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Motherwell (W) 4–1–1 Montrose LFC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Motherwell (W) |
| 22/03/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 02/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Motherwell (W) |
| 24/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 26/01/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Motherwell (W) |
| 18/08/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dundee Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Falkirk (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hamilton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kilmarnock (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Livingston (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queens Park (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Renfrew Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Johnstone (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Motherwell (W) | Montrose LFC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Hamilton (W) | 3-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Montrose LFC (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 08/02 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/01 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/01 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
Montrose LFC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Rangers (W) Scotland Women FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
6-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/02 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/02 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women FA Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/02 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Motherwell (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Motherwell (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Motherwell (W) 53%, draw 24%, Montrose LFC (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Motherwell (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Motherwell (W) 1.9 · Montrose LFC (W) 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Motherwell (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.