Prediction: Livingston (W) vs Motherwell (W)
Team pages: Livingston (W) · Motherwell (W)
| Livingston (W) | Draw | Motherwell (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 8% | 13% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Livingston (W) (rating 1580 vs 1511).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Livingston (W) | Motherwell (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.7 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/67/33% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 2.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.3 |
Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Montrose LFC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Livingston (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Hamilton (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Renfrew Women | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Spartans (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | St Johnstone (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Aberdeen (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Falkirk (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Motherwell (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Livingston (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | St Johnstone (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Stirling Uni FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | St Johnstone (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | East Fife (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | St Johnstone (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | East Fife (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | Stirling Uni FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/02 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/02 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/02 | St Johnstone (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 7-3 | – | – | W |
Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 08/02 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/01 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Livingston (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Motherwell (W) win (78%). Probabilities: Livingston (W) 9%, draw 13%, Motherwell (W) 78%.
How many goals are expected in Livingston (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
The model expects 4.03 goals (Livingston (W) 1.01 · Motherwell (W) 3.01), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Livingston (W) vs Motherwell (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.